Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b2c77a38811c22c6b907aa67a1183276de981a6a0aadcab77eb0bfb40fa458f

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $788,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $420,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,007 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	1c	50,527$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.96	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	26,007$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.85	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	24,442$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.44	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	1c	18,524$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2eb…7263backed Yes	1c	15,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	14,832$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.1	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	4c	14,412$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.94	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	6c	13,920$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828.8	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	6c	12,589$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.11	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	10,996$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	2c	10,794$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.4	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	0c	8,067$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	2c	7,280$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	0c	7,000$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.78	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x965f…50debacked Yes	1c	5,795$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.1	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	5,586$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.01	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	5,061$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.7	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	1c	4,153$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.97	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,108$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.21	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	4,000$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.53	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	4,000$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.33	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	14c	3,476$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.65	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	15c	3,330$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.38	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	3,245$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	1c	3,214$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.67	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	2c	3,199$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.54	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	16c	3,187$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	1c	3,090$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.69	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	3,019$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	14c	3,000$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.41	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	2c	2,980$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.09	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	13c	2,954$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.27	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	13c	2,930$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	9c	2,889$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.19	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,889$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.19	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	10c	2,884$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.93	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…a300backed Yes	7c	2,827$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.7	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	10c	2,822$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.28	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	10c	2,670$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.7	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	10c	2,500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.52	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	7c	2,500$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.02	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	7c	2,300$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.5	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe5e…8054backed Yes	13c	2,244$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.75	92	22.8%21 W · 71 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+151.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	15c	2,219$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.31	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	2,200$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.45	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	12c	2,157$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.56	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	6c	2,110$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.05	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	4c	2,109$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.3	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	2,071$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.99	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	4c	2,063$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.74	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	2c	2,011$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.61	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	9c	2,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	7c	1,997$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.1	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	2c	1,951$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.02	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	1c	1,888$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Yes	16c	1,834$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	9c	1,740$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.34	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	2c	1,720$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.35	77	27.3%21 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	11c	1,700$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacfb…ac3ebacked Yes	12c	1,618$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.7	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc7…7780backed Yes	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	+78.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	2c	1,501$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	13c	1,490$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.7	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	13c	1,426$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.05	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15ab…7949backed Yes	1c	1,342$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	5c	1,288$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.67	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa471…8b84backed Yes	12c	1,272$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.56	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25e1…6735backed Yes	2c	1,240$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	1,211$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.69	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	3c	1,177$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.25	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	13c	1,120$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.6	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d0…c191backed Yes	1c	1,100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes	2c	1,090$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.92	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6496…8e19backed Yes	13c	1,007$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.98	178	17.4%31 W · 147 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	5c	1,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	8c	999.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes	10c	999.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	131	16.8%22 W · 109 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	11c	999.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf22f…7714backed Yes	10c	999.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes	11c	946.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe155…45afbacked Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	209	24.9%52 W · 157 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x446f…8148backed Yes	10c	870.1$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.68	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x074b…ffc9backed Yes	9c	831.73$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.86	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	11c	800$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	2c	800$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	12c	787.19$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.21	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	13c	779.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce01…7acabacked Yes	13c	769.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	2c	758.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.23	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x890b…2737backed Yes	12c	719.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	17c	719.12$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.25	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	5c	703.38$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.8	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	13c	662.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…77acbacked Yes	3c	640$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	159	25.2%40 W · 119 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes	6c	630.76$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	131	19.1%25 W · 106 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event