Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x827e8c80408952f4a0396fe913644a70c3e997c52f9d3251760109b1bd13b690

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,053,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $742,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,053,963 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 824 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	72c	26,419$18,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,517.55	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	0c	20,046$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.92	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	57c	19,190$10,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,264.14	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	19c	17,013$3,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,292.74	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	22c	16,670$3,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,713.23	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	10c	16,528$1,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,633.39	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	16,010$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.6	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	25c	15,191$3,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,771.72	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	17c	14,030$2,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,388.4	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	19c	13,371$2,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,511.83	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	28c	12,658$3,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,592.15	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	32c	10,790$3,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,442.24	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	29c	10,366$3,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,045.54	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	16c	10,162$1,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.28	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	25c	10,029$2,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,544.58	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	21c	9,304$1,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,994.4	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	13c	8,941$1,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167.21	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	55c	8,535$4,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,703.19	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	16c	7,325$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155.82	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	19c	6,666$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,245.97	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	6,548$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.62	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	31c	6,500$1,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,990.69	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	21c	6,461$1,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330.82	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	78c	6,430$5,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,390.17	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	26c	6,149$1,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,586.42	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	22c	5,839$1,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290.9	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	5,615$3,964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,651.24	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	21c	5,590$1,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,194.28	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	17c	5,323$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.04	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	14c	5,270$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.17	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	19c	4,983$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.27	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f83…e34bbacked Yes	33c	4,932$1,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,615.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	26c	4,906$1,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,297.53	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	39c	4,769$1,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,847.74	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	24c	4,452$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.78	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	28c	4,347$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,196.57	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	19c	4,282$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.89	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	18c	4,271$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.44	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	21c	4,067$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.52	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	20c	4,000$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.95	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	78c	4,000$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.98	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53e1…6a12backed Yes	21c	3,900$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.89	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	25c	3,762$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$923.78	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	18c	3,662$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.69	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x459c…7ebcbacked Yes	16c	3,654$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	15c	3,399$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.03	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed Yes	18c	3,389$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.69	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed5…72a6backed Yes	8c	3,313$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281	124	29%36 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+110.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	19c	3,267$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.45	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes	31c	3,201$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	23c	3,196$741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.86	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	16c	3,109$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	14c	3,075$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.97	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes	30c	3,001$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.76	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	13c	3,000$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.42	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	16c	3,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	7c	2,900$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	31c	2,838$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.08	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc8…4676backed Yes	16c	2,826$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.5	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked No	72c	2,823$2,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.66	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes	20c	2,721$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.34	130	23.1%30 W · 100 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked Yes	22c	2,711$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x374b…1ccebacked Yes	24c	2,674$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.19	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	16c	2,671$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.43	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	2,667$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.35	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	17c	2,656$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.75	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	18c	2,599$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.59	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	33c	2,598$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77e9…1a46backed Yes	23c	2,523$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.1	45	20%9 W · 36 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	19c	2,515$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.84	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	20c	2,473$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.56	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed Yes	16c	2,440$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	30c	2,424$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.39	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9476…28bcbacked Yes	35c	2,407$845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$845.01	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	17c	2,339$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.09	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	39c	2,331$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.3	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	41c	2,301$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.55	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	11c	2,200$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	18c	2,183$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	19c	2,161$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.77	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	18c	2,138$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.89	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	17c	2,075$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	10c	2,000$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.51	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	22c	2,000$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	2,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x379b…4728backed Yes	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes	20c	1,926$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.92	89	16.9%15 W · 74 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d49…9601backed Yes	22c	1,864$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	14c	1,843$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.29	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	32c	1,838$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed Yes	40c	1,825$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.95	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f2c…c480backed No	61c	1,792$1,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.28	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	20c	1,721$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.4	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	40c	1,714$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	17c	1,700$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.21	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Yes	21c	1,671$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344	201	29.4%59 W · 142 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event