Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b60bb61d4089b92b8ee1eed57f1988c851e4b0f65e6cc34ae4a346264097989

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $479,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $180,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,160 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	0c	23,886$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.89	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	21,394$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.76	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	0c	11,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	8,354$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	7c	6,988$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.28	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	0c	6,304$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	6,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	5,861$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.14	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	0c	5,039$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	12c	5,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	4,807$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.66	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	4,786$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.03	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…a201backed Yes	2c	4,500$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	7c	4,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	5c	4,000$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	3,777$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.3	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	9c	3,632$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.91	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	0c	3,553$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,478$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.86	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	3,344$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.69	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	3c	3,305$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.7	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	3,269$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.31	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	11c	2,905$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.82	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…a300backed Yes	7c	2,833$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.7	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	5c	2,658$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.98	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	2c	2,560$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.19	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	12c	2,500$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	3c	2,430$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.52	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	6c	2,288$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.97	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91af…40bdbacked Yes	1c	2,275$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Yes	2c	2,254$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a0…fb10backed Yes	1c	2,200$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	140	26.4%37 W · 103 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	2,186$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.17	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cd…f7c3backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.99	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+51.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	3c	1,991$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.49	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	3c	1,919$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.99	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	2c	1,800$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.9	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes	2c	1,638$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	1,507$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.05	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	4c	1,385$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	11c	1,339$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.24	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	6c	1,326$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.97	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	1,300$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefd7…036ebacked Yes	6c	1,161$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.56	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	13c	1,000$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	6c	999.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes	2c	999.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	131	16.8%22 W · 109 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf22f…7714backed Yes	10c	999.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	11c	999.95$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.99	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	8c	850$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	12c	847.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed Yes	13c	842.89$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.15	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	10c	800$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x837a…77e1backed Yes	10c	791$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.1	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc86e…b3e1backed Yes	13c	782.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	4c	780.95$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.58	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	6c	779.97$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.06	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	5c	745.89$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	10c	709.84$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.08	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	2c	700$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f26…1f12backed Yes	4c	700$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	135	17%23 W · 112 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	4c	695.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.21	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x336f…820abacked Yes	4c	627.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes	4c	621$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	89	16.9%15 W · 74 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	3c	600$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	8c	600$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc14f…0ee1backed Yes	6c	599.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	160	13.8%22 W · 138 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	5c	578.52$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.93	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	5c	550$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.3	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	131	19.1%25 W · 106 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd744…ee84backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x966e…2ad5backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-85.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e39…dfd9backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-68%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bc…96c0backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	104	4.8%5 W · 99 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd71…2b92backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+131.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0617…3070backed Yes	9c	499.95$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	152	12.5%19 W · 133 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc239…64a6backed Yes	3c	405$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76b…e02abacked Yes	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	108	6.5%7 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	7c	400$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x653f…c386backed Yes	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	5c	380.36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b67…0ea8backed Yes	9c	370$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	11c	351.91$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.17	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes	6c	333.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.42	334	15.6%52 W · 282 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba7…8ca5backed Yes	10c	315.78$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.58	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	3c	301.85$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	12c	291.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event