TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x907d…20c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
259
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 50 out of 100; worst Tweets at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT710%0 W · 71 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT490%0 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Will Microsoft have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.15
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.94
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.93
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.89
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.35
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.04
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.82
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.45
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT410%0 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.75
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.74
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.53
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.48
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.49
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.21
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will the Reform Party (RP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.13
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$121.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.52
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.34
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Solana reach $120 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.82
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.35
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
All 23 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT230%0 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.22
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.28
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.67
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.34
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.93
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT190%0 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.09
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.04
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.49
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.55
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$73.37
Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.66
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.22
All 19 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.