Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43a0c1b3b8be7f8194bdc9a30774629f29be272044327c6f9f210675ae2462f7

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $278,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,901 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b86…a4ecbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaff…77a6backed Yes	0c	16,299$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	2c	13,800$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	8c	13,601$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.15	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	11,687$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e63…e35cbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	9,309$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.09	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	8,423$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.58	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	8,165$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.68	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	7,728$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.68	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	9c	6,860$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.38	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	6,696$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.68	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	3c	6,365$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.46	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	13c	6,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	5,235$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.02	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	7c	5,042$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.2	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	5c	5,000$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.5	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	12c	5,000$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.45	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	11c	4,992$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.1	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	4,756$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.24	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	7c	4,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	4,230$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.07	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	3,706$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.14	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8402…bfa4backed Yes	12c	3,035$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	13c	3,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	2,902$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.22	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9dc…6900backed Yes	13c	2,306$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.82	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	13c	2,300$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.6	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	13c	2,283$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.7	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	2c	2,244$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.17	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	2,050$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…a201backed Yes	10c	2,022$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.24	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	3c	2,000$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf10…8e43backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	10cpaid	+237.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ada…e527backed Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…3d31backed Yes	9c	2,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	8c	1,938$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.54	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	1,702$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.81	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	1,520$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.45	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	11c	1,500$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	8c	1,500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes	3c	1,427$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	7c	1,394$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b79…b838backed Yes	9c	1,326$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.58	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	1,275$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.32	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes	2c	1,250$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	334	15.6%52 W · 282 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	14c	1,250$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.19	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	1c	1,234$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	8c	1,207$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.3	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	10c	1,159$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.74	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x337f…2c4ebacked Yes	1c	1,146$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	2c	1,123$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	10c	1,115$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.78	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e19…3a62backed Yes	7c	1,112$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.72	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	8c	1,077$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.41	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…f604backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf22f…7714backed Yes	11c	999.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	9c	999.98$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	10c	962.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	7c	946.19$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc86e…b3e1backed Yes	13c	925.93$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes	12c	837.99$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.56	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes	10c	781.59$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	8c	750$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Yes	12c	740$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e0b…8003backed Yes	9c	733$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.97	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc429…bec8backed Yes	8c	725.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.57	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	12c	716.51$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a5…64ffbacked Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca28…ceb2backed Yes	6c	704.76$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	3c	701.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd702…9694backed Yes	14c	700$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	7c	699.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Yes	12c	686.15$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.2	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	11c	650.64$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.57	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	13c	623.33$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.03	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc977…5829backed Yes	14c	612.64$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.77	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x542f…916abacked Yes	12c	600$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	9c	599.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d3…a1a2backed Yes	9c	599.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	11c	590$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.3	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e9…5625backed Yes	10c	589.23$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee65…1109backed Yes	10c	583.88$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d4…2ad9backed Yes	3c	550$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	141	29.1%41 W · 100 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	10c	546.11$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.2	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5989…1d6cbacked Yes	12c	516.67$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	10c	500$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5273…16debacked Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f3…ae51backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	78	26.9%21 W · 57 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event