Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc65343fd6674a68548266cacf46ad60d1245026551ce15bb85eacb316253f083

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $247,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,244 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	25,226$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.6	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	0c	15,620$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	14,562$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.27	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.22per pick	6cpaid	+109.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…e564backed Yes	15c	9,939$1,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470.65	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	8,184$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.34	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	7,961$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.63	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	0c	6,944$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	6,427$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.89	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	1c	6,003$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	5,515$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.63	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	10c	5,000$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.83	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	1c	4,500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,500$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.76	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	4,337$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.22	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	4,152$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	4,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	3,881$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.54	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	4c	3,700$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.2	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	9c	3,447$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.22	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	6c	3,333$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.97	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54de…d617backed Yes	8c	3,291$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.63	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	5c	3,168$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.57	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	3,000$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.88	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes	1c	2,745$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.01	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf804…8028backed Yes	3c	2,731$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.04	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes	2c	2,662$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.94	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	2,448$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.44	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	5c	2,189$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.62	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8402…bfa4backed Yes	8c	2,084$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafbb…9213backed Yes	11c	2,050$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	+118.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	2,000$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	4c	1,992$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	13c	1,782$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	7c	1,768$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.65	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	6c	1,726$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.32	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	1c	1,684$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	1,650$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.9	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	1c	1,603$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.46	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3513…b52fbacked Yes	1c	1,481$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.74	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	1,310$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.54	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	11c	1,310$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.51	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	1,300$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d3…a1a2backed Yes	1c	1,246$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	2c	1,182$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.26	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2b…d581backed Yes	17c	1,158$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	5c	1,049$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…f604backed Yes	7c	1,015$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb34…2b09backed Yes	11c	1,007$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4b…5166backed Yes	7c	1,000$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0b…8003backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc429…bec8backed Yes	2c	999.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes	11c	999.96$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	99	11.1%11 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	7c	972.33$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.88	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	948.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46a5…64ffbacked Yes	11c	945.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes	6c	907.45$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.54	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…dedebacked Yes	12c	800.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	12c	791.67$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	3c	714.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	15c	709.99$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.5	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	7c	700$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	6c	699.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8614…0ff5backed Yes	16c	681.25$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf167…ce49backed Yes	5c	673.96$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Yes	12c	635.33$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.97	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Yes	16c	627.45$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	3c	625.92$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d4…2ad9backed Yes	3c	620$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	141	29.1%41 W · 100 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x542f…916abacked Yes	15c	600$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	5c	535.11$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.76	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…5414backed Yes	12c	507.78$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	19cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	10c	502.88$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe95c…c1e1backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c9…1f65backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	3c	500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c3d…8d58backed Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bc…96c0backed Yes	3c	499.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	104	4.8%5 W · 99 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9940…834cbacked Yes	5c	450$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	7c	430$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5464…ce87backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d43…4be9backed Yes	12c	416.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes	4c	400$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	101	5%5 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…9783backed Yes	14c	400$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa9…c4bcbacked Yes	12c	399.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2347…5adfbacked Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	12c	356.46$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.68	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f3…ae51backed Yes	11c	347.65$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.24	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7072…e65cbacked Yes	6c	341$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event