Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb88bf4db21ea1a96ce4d258082a160d440dc11c4187b7e7d2e1c7fb511a6a7d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $496,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,243 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	49,998$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	22,710$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.14	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	6c	18,500$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064.99	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	8c	14,600$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.11	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	12c	14,244$1,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,662.92	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	4c	13,596$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.64	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	4c	13,484$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.86	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	1c	13,037$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.63	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	12,392$1,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.25	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	21c	12,145$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	10,058$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.19	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6240…3727backed Yes	4c	10,058$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.55	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	21c	10,001$2,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,067.58	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	9,138$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	8,927$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.16	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	4c	8,906$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	4c	8,704$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.71	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	8,500$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.5	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	13c	8,313$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.33	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	8,300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	7,385$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.08	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	10c	7,183$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.61	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	1c	5,928$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcded…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	5,775$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	5,444$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.51	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cff…53b5backed Yes	16c	5,413$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	6c	5,150$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.02	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	8c	4,760$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.75	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	4,457$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.48	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	12c	4,301$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.23	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	16c	4,255$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.35	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	4,206$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.61	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…f409backed Yes	14c	4,016$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.12	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	4,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	4c	3,800$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.6	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	18c	3,715$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.84	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	6c	3,668$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.28	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	15c	3,282$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.83	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	13c	3,279$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.27	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	14c	3,101$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,026$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.02	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	2,976$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.31	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf670…3cb8backed Yes	9c	2,900$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.73	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	7c	2,821$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	22c	2,809$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.74	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	2,797$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.33	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	2,796$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.09	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	9c	2,657$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.85	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	2c	2,600$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.69	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	8c	2,513$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.84	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd3…cf4abacked Yes	1c	2,400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbc0…a438backed Yes	1c	2,400$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	3c	2,331$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.08	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb171…39eebacked Yes	12c	2,313$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.39	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	6c	2,294$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.24	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	8c	2,279$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.55	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	5c	2,274$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.23	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x792a…b16dbacked Yes	2c	2,249$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.97	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	12c	2,199$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.37	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	12c	2,147$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.84	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	3c	2,142$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.62	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	19c	2,087$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.88	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	3c	2,000$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c6…6daabacked Yes	6c	2,000$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.2	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	1,962$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.08	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	10c	1,953$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.28	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	14c	1,844$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1efe…ac77backed Yes	8c	1,808$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.13	99	10.1%10 W · 89 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8e…39b0backed Yes	6c	1,762$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	39	7.7%3 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-28%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d42…6e4cbacked Yes	1c	1,751$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	64	3.1%2 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…4fbcbacked Yes	11c	1,749$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	13c	1,698$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.83	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	1,657$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.52	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	14c	1,553$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.76	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd97f…7813backed Yes	7c	1,549$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.21	159	28.3%45 W · 114 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa752…e19fbacked Yes	13c	1,520$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.6	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	+4.7wins	+0.12per pick	19cpaid	+75.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	9c	1,503$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.95	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	12c	1,500$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.52	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x773b…640ebacked Yes	1c	1,498$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	16.4%10 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	15c	1,491$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.7	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	3c	1,479$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.38	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	14c	1,432$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.67	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	22c	1,429$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.6	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbce8…b49bbacked Yes	14c	1,400$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.75	71	15.5%11 W · 60 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	14c	1,392$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.22	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Yes	7c	1,370$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.01	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+180.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	6c	1,357$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	3c	1,322$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.3	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	16c	1,302$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5afb…d66dbacked Yes	16c	1,300$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.1	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	18c	1,222$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	2c	1,211$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.84	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	1,206$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.03	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	8c	1,170$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	8c	1,152$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.7	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a3…c878backed Yes	15c	1,132$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event