Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e824c407d56d0fbe20c60665924c3cfe00c7eee08bfa3915d6ce9aa7a003ab8

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $389,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,053 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	7c	34,321$2,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,352.67	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…39eebacked Yes	0c	29,828$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.58	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	3c	28,661$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.81	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	1c	24,648$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.24	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	4c	19,694$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.51	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	1c	15,095$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.63	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	2c	13,239$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.35	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	2c	12,878$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.92	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	2c	12,412$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	2c	12,366$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.69	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x792a…b16dbacked Yes	0c	11,320$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	10,589$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.28	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	9,985$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.22	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c6…6daabacked Yes	0c	8,549$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	8,361$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.62	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda98…5119backed Yes	0c	8,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	3c	7,038$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.69	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	6,232$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.56	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	4c	6,149$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	2c	5,994$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.56	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	5,684$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.56	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	8c	4,873$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.05	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	4,500$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	3c	4,349$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.3	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	1c	4,186$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.67	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	3c	4,001$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.23	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	4,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes	3c	3,644$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.59	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbc0…a438backed Yes	1c	3,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	3,342$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.55	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	0c	3,102$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	1c	3,028$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.46	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	2c	2,998$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	1c	2,860$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.35	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac6…8d88backed Yes	4c	2,857$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	3c	2,729$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.1	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	1c	2,666$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.13	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	2c	2,455$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.64	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	2,415$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.56	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	3c	2,167$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	4c	2,135$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.17	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a3…8046backed Yes	6c	2,061$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.68	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+817.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	2,007$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.12	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	1c	2,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	2,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	1c	2,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	1,971$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.56	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc663…bd70backed Yes	1c	1,903$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	1,841$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	4c	1,791$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.8	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68b…fa13backed Yes	1c	1,777$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	44	4.5%2 W · 42 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe739…eeb5backed Yes	1c	1,772$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.41	133	17.3%23 W · 110 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8e…39b0backed Yes	2c	1,728$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	39	7.7%3 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-28%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	2c	1,712$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	12c	1,680$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d42…6e4cbacked Yes	1c	1,611$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	64	3.1%2 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	4c	1,608$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.83	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcb…f083backed Yes	3c	1,584$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.91	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	5c	1,495$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.75	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	1c	1,467$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	1c	1,428$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…65d8backed Yes	1c	1,356$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	2c	1,343$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.35	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5830…f928backed Yes	2c	1,321$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.71	166	11.4%19 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	1,307$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.29	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	3c	1,226$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e19…3a62backed Yes	3c	1,200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76b…e02abacked Yes	1c	1,145$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	108	6.5%7 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c3…6efebacked Yes	2c	1,129$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f4…4064backed Yes	2c	1,116$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.05	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b91…982dbacked Yes	2c	1,102$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.42	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	+82.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	5c	1,100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	5c	1,096$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.42	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	4c	1,062$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.23	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb57…6a21backed Yes	7c	1,058$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	64	20.3%13 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	1,036$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	2c	1,010$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.43	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	1,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	11c	992.23$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.99	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	4c	907.08$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.34	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…f604backed Yes	3c	903.46$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	8c	901.65$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1efe…ac77backed Yes	2c	869.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.12	99	10.1%10 W · 89 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d4…ae0cbacked Yes	5c	862.54$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Yes	1c	810$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	775.21$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.55	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5720…515fbacked Yes	3c	771.89$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.86	41	22%9 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ada…e527backed Yes	2c	771.78$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.59	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a3…fa3cbacked Yes	2c	757.57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1798…1ce9backed Yes	2c	755.34$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.71	57	5.3%3 W · 54 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes	3c	745.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	101	5%5 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x653f…c386backed Yes	8c	693.3$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x193a…35c0backed Yes	2c	662.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.13	95	5.3%5 W · 90 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	4c	633.5$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.11	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5047backed Yes	2c	629.7$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+58%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	621.47$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.11	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes	2c	600$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45a4…de86backed Yes	2c	537.59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2bf…66c7backed Yes	10c	530.68$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.43	96	28.1%27 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event