Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72cfcd317f106f2a4a74ce96db91b7d9cde573907e59c495ac7bf5ee90a13858

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $749,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $749,122 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,016 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	3c	33,675$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.91	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	5c	30,130$1,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,516.35	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	26c	26,421$6,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,808.61	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	24c	14,990$3,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,637.63	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	19c	13,353$2,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,487.2	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	26c	12,822$3,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,348.6	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	69c	12,564$8,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,901.18	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	14c	12,470$1,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,684.57	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	18c	12,287$2,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,259.82	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	33c	11,821$3,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,897.66	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	21c	10,681$2,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,198.38	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd94b…a5b6backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	0c	9,000$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	15c	8,801$1,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,293.44	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	8,300$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.14	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	28c	7,006$1,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,986.99	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	25c	6,748$1,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,691.51	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	24c	6,631$1,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,581.79	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	6,621$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	26c	6,501$1,718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,717.93	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	15c	6,125$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.04	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	77c	5,918$4,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,386.27	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	73c	5,700$4,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,552.84	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	5,470$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.71	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8974…bedebacked Yes	29c	5,399$1,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.76	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+42%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	19c	5,150$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.19	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked No	73c	4,935$3,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,342.29	181	23.8%43 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd365…d5d7backed Yes	1c	4,500$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	+5.7wins	+0.12per pick	7cpaid	+193.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	5c	4,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	4,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb385…c74ebacked Yes	2c	4,484$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	11c	4,332$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.13	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	13c	4,285$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.1	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	8c	4,274$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.82	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	24c	4,183$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.44	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	7c	4,179$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.98	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	72c	4,014$2,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,115.81	186	76.9%143 W · 43 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	22c	4,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	16c	4,000$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked No	79c	3,884$3,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.91	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	8c	3,789$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.42	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No	76c	3,761$2,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.83	599	27%162 W · 437 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	19c	3,756$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.29	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	28c	3,740$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.42	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb9…6f7abacked No	77c	3,722$2,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861.48	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	33c	3,708$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,229.55	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	32c	3,678$1,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170.78	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	70c	3,660$2,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.41	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	18c	3,480$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.01	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	24c	3,286$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.8	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No	77c	3,261$2,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	17c	3,228$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.33	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	30c	3,216$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.85	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…cb18backed Yes	13c	3,191$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.52	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	5c	3,150$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.79	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	29c	3,144$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.1	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	27c	3,100$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.21	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	8c	3,017$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.6	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	15c	3,000$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.8	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed No	77c	2,981$2,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.14	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1327…0119backed No	76c	2,948$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698.05	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	20c	2,801$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.37	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	2,730$1,983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.48	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes	29c	2,689$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.45	130	23.1%30 W · 100 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Yes	19c	2,651$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	6c	2,517$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.29	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	18c	2,407$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.8	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8402…bfa4backed Yes	19c	2,364$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	17c	2,355$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.68	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82a…576abacked No	61c	2,318$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.54	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94e8…b626backed Yes	2c	2,300$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa200…d145backed Yes	24c	2,272$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.56	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	22c	2,249$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.23	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	25c	2,247$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.32	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	19c	2,224$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.83	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yes	3c	2,220$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.15	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	7c	2,124$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.88	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	6c	2,087$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.46	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	7c	2,074$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ef…4b21backed Yes	1c	2,054$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	15c	2,029$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	17c	2,016$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.07	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7f…0380backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.51	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes	10c	1,977$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	89	18%16 W · 73 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	9c	1,960$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.21	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c87…2e1cbacked Yes	25c	1,931$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.32per pick	35cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	17c	1,927$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.96	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed No	69c	1,888$1,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578.75	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	26c	1,870$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.95	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9476…28bcbacked Yes	9c	1,840$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.34	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	19c	1,763$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.47	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…2b46backed Yes	21c	1,747$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.94	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec87…47cebacked Yes	22c	1,718$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.33	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	17c	1,716$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.89	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	12c	1,711$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.15	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	14c	1,708$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.63	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	17c	1,705$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	16c	1,703$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.17	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	15c	1,700$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.2	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event