TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdaa7…2e3c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT5152.9%27 W · 24 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$27.22
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.65
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+62.1%+$15.53
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.2%+$28.14
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.8%+$5.16
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+74.9%+$14.24
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+80.8%+$20.21
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37.3%+$11.19
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nikola Vučević: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.27
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.56
Toledo Rockets vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$42.05
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.7%+$65.43
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+61.1%+$30.31
Seton Hall Pirates vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+44.3%+$8.86
Auburn Tigers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+32.4%+$19.49
East Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+35.8%+$4.66
Jackson State Tigers vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37.1%+$22.25
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonelsbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Buffalo Bulls vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Syracuse Orange vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+115.6%+$20.8
Boston College Eagles vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Fordham Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-4.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.5%+$22.24
Marist Red Foxes vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+41.2%+$28.83
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.58
BYU Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51%+$12.76
Dayton Flyers vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Baylor Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.4%+$12.58
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.09
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$11.57
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$15.39
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$11.47
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+181.9%+$52.77
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick72cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs eternal premium (BO3) - IZI WEX Group Cbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+36.5%+$10.71
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.12
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs b52team (BO3) - IZI WEX Group Bbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$13.66
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs WW Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$202
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs WW Team (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Cbacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+340.8%+$44.3
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+36.1%+$17.67
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.1%+$13.04
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$15
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27.02
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+27.7%+$17.19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+36.7%+$16.13
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$2.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+32.5%+$25.98
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+38%+$22.79
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$23.33
Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-69%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.9
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$915.99
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,843Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$1,446.95
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.55
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.06
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.42
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+734%+$1,438.99
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.74
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.03
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$30
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+41%+$11.08
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick80cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Winter Bear (BO3)backed Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Utrecht vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Livingston FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+34.6%+$20.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.9%+$21.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25.1%+$23.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
P2P FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.