CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea2dfd20d20585503eb0f7a96108afa10b58e5c6ea7f64573bbcd9340ebb9c9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof AM Gaming, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x084b…3de6backed AM Gaming | 51c | 1,791$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.52 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 49c | 1,780$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.02 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed SPARTA | 52c | 519.05$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.75 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed SPARTA | 54c | 380.28$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…1afdbacked SPARTA | 70c | 308.59$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed SPARTA | 52c | 251.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AM Gaming | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SPARTA | 49c | 199.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed AM Gaming | 54c | 183.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed SPARTA | 49c | 181.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed AM Gaming | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SPARTA | 53c | 140.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 54c | 117.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed AM Gaming | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed AM Gaming | 62c | 78.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked AM Gaming | 18c | 70.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked SPARTA | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked SPARTA | 79c | 63.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed SPARTA | 42c | 48.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…0fccbacked SPARTA | 35c | 48.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed AM Gaming | 58c | 39.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed SPARTA | 41c | 30.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed AM Gaming | 58c | 25.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked AM Gaming | 64c | 18.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageAM Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerAM Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.