Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c4b01fef401583486fd5fb05ae45d57d61bca839c2921ae69511e23d1ac23c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 1c | 5,650$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 5,433$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.13 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 4,299$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.24 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 76c | 1,999$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.55 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 1,747$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.63 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 77c | 1,617$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.47 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 23c | 674.52$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.38 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 521.71$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 509.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.33 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Over | 80c | 425.89$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 80cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 63c | 393.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Over | 76c | 358.86$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.37 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 70c | 279.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 79c | 253.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 62c | 242.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 75c | 240$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 59c | 210$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 78c | 192.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa20f…fcaabacked Over | 78c | 192$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 77c | 180.64$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.09 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 20c | 179.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 30c | 136.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 12c | 129.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…9706backed Under | 16c | 128.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 112.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…a076backed Over | 64c | 107.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 91.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 57c | 87.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 77c | 65.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 29c | 63.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 22c | 61.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d47bbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 33c | 47.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 57c | 45.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…acacbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 70c | 32.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 79c | 31.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 76c | 28.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 40c | 26.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Over | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 78c | 19.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 80c | 15.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 77c | 13.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Utrecht vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.