TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07ce…75e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31.5%+$101.12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+41.1%+$87.77
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$60.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$72.62
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$174.49
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$55.89
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$37.82
Will Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$44.57
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$22.52
Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+37%+$40.68
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$43.36
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$30.39
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+30.2%+$82.7
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$20.5
Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$91.86
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$52.04
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick72cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$55.39
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$51.72
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$155.89
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$216.79
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.09
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$111.95
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$181.23
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$150.32
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$90.56
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$50.79
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$118.32
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$111.68
Will Mali win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50.25
Will Angola win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.59
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+26.6%+$15.95
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$110.2
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+27.7%+$49.91
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Genoa CFC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$35
AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+25%+$27.4
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$65.61
Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$70.72
Cagliari Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$97.18
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$19.44
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+33.4%+$30.08
Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick80cpaid-57.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$45
1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+33.3%+$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$142.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.