TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c14,411$3,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,743.266,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under32c12,725$4,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,596.12,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Over76c4,620$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c4,316$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.94,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over75c3,605$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,715.725560%33 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Over76c3,289$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5f…4b52backed Over76c2,368$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004671.7%33 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under24c1,500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9660728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Under80c1,366$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.41656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over74c1,254$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.6317161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over78c1,252$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.3125256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under20c1,250$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00013841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over64c1,231$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.794850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.119652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under25c1,157$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.7410956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under31c1,138$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.1351542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Over43c1,110$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.3742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under27c1,101$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.861,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Over76c1,004$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.42356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003953.8%21 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over55c871.23$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.4917744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Over73c822.67$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over74c805.71$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over75c689.2$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.92846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed46…1badbacked Over75c666.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2823…eb3dbacked Over75c591.14$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.71862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under62c549.06$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.18858%51 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Under42c543.73$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.4127141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a28…7630backed Over75c519.16$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.374546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Under25c419.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.148153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1834…a26abacked Over75c413.4$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.051526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under31c403.95$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.0657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49db…f75bbacked Under26c393.4$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+177.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over76c388$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.051,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under23c380.84$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Under22c370.08$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.681163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd134…719bbacked Under30c299.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over77c280.84$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2155461.1%33 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick74cpaid-16.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked Over76c265.75$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.971656.3%9 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick75cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over74c250$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18517955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c232.66$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3374156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed Over76c229.59$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.491877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over63c226.77$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under39c212.64$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7110850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef2…50e0backed Over76c212.59$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.571668.8%11 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Over54c203.22$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.743525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over71c180$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.58259.8%49 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x844b…2580backed Over38c179.53$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over15c167.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4910433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over73c164.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over75c161.33$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12142862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe733…0accbacked Under34c150.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.33540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Under43c149.53$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.332835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under24c145$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Over74c134.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.677358.9%43 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23df…c7a8backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfa6…c301backed Over77c130.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Over75c120$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.341260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under37c109.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5329041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x548f…43b6backed Over75c106.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over76c103.95$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7920864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Under33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678046.3%37 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdf…f939backed Over75c88.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.531369.2%9 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over73c88.2$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6418059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Over67c87.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.562470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over47c81.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44050%20 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Over33c81.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0711255.4%62 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3f…3badbacked Over42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7b6…08bdbacked Over67c79.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcec6…4aa5backed Over64c76.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over66c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54654.3%25 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Over75c75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.252842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over43c74.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325729.8%17 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508759.8%52 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over59c68.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.43240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfb9…65bfbacked Under32c67.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.88922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over68c64.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9455654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca4…923dbacked Over78c64.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70d1…a7ffbacked Over75c62.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over76c61.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.57869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7689…dd2bbacked Over76c60.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.146740.3%27 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over34c58.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203959%23 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d2…bc89backed Over76c54.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.512437.5%9 W · 15 L-6.4wins-0.27per pick64cpaid-43.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Under20c53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.383148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbd9…431dbacked Over76c52.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over76c50.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.987659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3112047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Over74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378763.2%55 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.814845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.924062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49bb…27bdbacked Over61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.52142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.