Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a4f118863cf74d32868ba48965c6f2bed2697b9470086c41d38651080a8be98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 73c | 37,303$27,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,927.56 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 30c | 13,359$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 26c | 13,148$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.39 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Under | 78c | 8,300$6,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 4,579$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.31 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 4,484$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 22c | 3,773$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.44 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 29c | 3,428$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.12 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 70c | 3,100$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.48 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Over | 8c | 2,999$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 79c | 1,875$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.68 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 72c | 1,319$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.44 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 2c | 1,250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Under | 78c | 1,112$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.16 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Under | 75c | 666.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…f7a7backed Under | 80c | 521.03$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 75c | 430.24$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 25c | 411.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 28c | 323$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…2c66backed Over | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 26c | 261.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 24c | 192.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 72c | 190$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 28c | 174.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 30c | 167.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 74c | 155.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 22c | 145.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Under | 72c | 131.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 22c | 114.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Over | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 72c | 96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked Under | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 24c | 83.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 29c | 69.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 27c | 68.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Over | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Over | 27c | 52.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…822bbacked Under | 80c | 51.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 28c | 48.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Over | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…28bcbacked Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fe62backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 61c | 22.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c27…b3c6backed Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Under | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.