Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdba3d0db12d039aeb66f4b8d858c6b9741edabecf1dd363a5d10823186462e2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tottenham Hotspur FCof Crystal Palace FC, Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Crystal Palace FC | 21c | 1,608$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.62 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Crystal Palace FC | 21c | 1,257$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.97 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Crystal Palace FC | 22c | 454.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -11.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Crystal Palace FC | 21c | 377.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Crystal Palace FC | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Crystal Palace FC | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Crystal Palace FC | 13c | 189.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 175$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Crystal Palace FC | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Crystal Palace FC | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Crystal Palace FC | 21c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 45.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…a575backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c62…40aabacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.