TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c36,884$18,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,540.411,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c31,425$19,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,955.876,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under50c23,460$11,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,730.2224846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over51c15,563$7,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9373938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over33c14,765$4,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,934.044841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over40c14,715$5,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,881.8511029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under50c13,733$6,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,866.55752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c9,925$4,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,061.51,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c7,903$3,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,030.442,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under54c7,188$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,292.412,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c5,734$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.2150644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under50c5,577$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,788.623633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c3,400$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.1139156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Over51c2,759$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40710737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c2,449$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.621,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under57c2,000$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.0719652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Over42c1,905$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over51c1,569$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c1,441$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.534,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over51c1,412$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7209244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under59c1,361$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.9351542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over51c1,248$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.539946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.469949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over50c1,007$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.59763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over51c987.18$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Under51c901.96$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.961931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Under64c812.5$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Over50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37510960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f0d…cce6backed Over49c736.1$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.591070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over49c700$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.939843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over49c661.22$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32420054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over48c608.33$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2928236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under51c587.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.112250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a97…1a9cbacked Over51c568.63$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c530$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over49c519.96$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9816453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over51c493.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over42c480$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.67737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed Over51c447.53$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.242227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over18c434.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1323926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over43c393.77$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.933630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x290d…503fbacked Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under50c375$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.519357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e98…0bbfbacked Over50c324.77$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.391752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14727752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Under63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15359958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95d0…9bf3backed Over51c260.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under51c254.68$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.798655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under52c246.15$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.155242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under44c241.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2917744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under64c232.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5857744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over51c209.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.66558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over34c203.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd19e…e997backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4675…d7d0backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over50c199.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.910046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004050%20 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under51c196.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0458445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Under49c183.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.662250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.837958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49db…f75bbacked Under59c170.47$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+177.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over50c168$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc44a…bcd8backed Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ce…07adbacked Under49c158$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over51c154.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7917745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a28…7630backed Over51c128.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.664546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b7…73e5backed Under57c122.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under73c120.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1829041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef4…3405backed Over43c116.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.984045%18 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Under52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.383935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over45c110.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under45c110$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b6…08bdbacked Over47c106.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Over50c106$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x844b…2580backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09e4…973ebacked Over13c100.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-63.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4929343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.