TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd19e…e997

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.5
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$45
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100.7%+$87.82
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$93.79
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+64.6%+$46.9
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31.85
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.94
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$79.87
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+96.4%+$96.4
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$133.23
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$37.83
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+117.9%+$54.22
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+185.7%+$221
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$26.66
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.38
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27.7
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$78.03
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$22.48
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.58
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.8
Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)backed South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$20.61
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$53.31
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.9%+$17.78
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Spirit Academy (BO3)backed Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.79
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+136%+$53.44
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$19.4
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: OG vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+53.8%+$62.46
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$46.33
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.87
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.76
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.02
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$66.83
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs JiJieHao (BO3)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$80.48
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$39.37
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33.95
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+244.8%+$157.13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.39
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.71
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+92.3%+$11.01
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+85.5%+$68.31
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+56.5%+$41.02
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$102.45
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.47
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$75.75
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$128.73
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Paper Rex (BO1)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$58.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28.2%+$60.12
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$122.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+185.7%+$92.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.