Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9d41501d775f64a2f1a32c8986d823ba26d3b5c68b270565c6c67925a88a25e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 25,944$13,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,377.46 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 62c | 15,282$9,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,550.48 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 12,834$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,368.32 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Team Falcons | 2c | 9,671$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Falcons | 63c | 9,000$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,108.11 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 7,487$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.95 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 5,000$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.03 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 4,989$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.03 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 4,170$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.03 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 4,147$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.85 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 3,999$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.04 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 3,529$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.92 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,925$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.83 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 1,910$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.93 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,727$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.15 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 1,427$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.98 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,315$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.99 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 1,308$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.25 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 1,192$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.64 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 1,111$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.58 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 884.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.17 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons | 61c | 818.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons | 64c | 817.55$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.91 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 726.23$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.79 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 695.42$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.42 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 692.29$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.06 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 562.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.16 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Team Falcons | 52c | 506$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.11 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 500$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 63c | 474.76$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.64 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 463.87$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.88 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 457.7$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.42 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 454$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.82 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Falcons | 77c | 410.71$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 409.85$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 400$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 399.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.99 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…4134backed Team Falcons | 24c | 370$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 63c | 366.95$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.58 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 348.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.74 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 344.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…591bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 335.93$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 329.14$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Team Falcons | 6c | 320$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Falcons | 67c | 280.83$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.16 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Xtreme Gaming | 19c | 277.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.21 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Falcons | 74c | 265.22$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.37 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 245.28$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 243.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.44 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 209.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 196.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 189.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.73 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…9e92backed Team Falcons | 53c | 188.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 173.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.03 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…6c31backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Falcons | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…8a4bbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 156.71$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…2f2abacked Team Falcons | 56c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 150$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 138$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Team Falcons | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed Team Falcons | 68c | 133.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 133.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 132$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 123.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 116.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 116.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 110$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed Team Falcons | 69c | 110$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3787…57aebacked Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae5…f681backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Falcons | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e4…36e9backed Team Falcons | 67c | 92.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 91.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 89.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Team Falcons | 64c | 88.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 81.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 66.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Team Falcons | 50c | 60.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.