Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2d554594df880235dd63e93fcbb4ebf8ed1cd054c07fdf48c69d0c3ac05c31f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Xtreme Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 8,692$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.75 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 7,500$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.27 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 7,193$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.75 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 6,042$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.66 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 6,021$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.87 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 5,000$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.47 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 4,282$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.14 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 3,999$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.73 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 62c | 3,207$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.08 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Falcons | 77c | 3,111$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Falcons | 65c | 3,087$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.97 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 2,459$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.55 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,378$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.73 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 2,284$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.57 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,789$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 873.88$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.15 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 751.26$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Falcons | 57c | 704.1$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.1 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 622.95$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…591bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 602.84$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons | 60c | 536.38$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.55 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons | 60c | 534.6$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Falcons | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 486.41$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.24 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 456.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 443.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.69 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons | 50c | 433$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 405.54$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.49 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 400$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Falcons | 44c | 399.97$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.98 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 336.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed Team Falcons | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 252$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…439cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 251.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 235$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 230.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons | 63c | 185.3$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Team Falcons | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Team Falcons | 70c | 167$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…8a4bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 155$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Falcons | 69c | 144.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Falcons | 47c | 141.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 118.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Team Falcons | 59c | 115.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 63c | 114.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 109.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…6c31backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Team Falcons | 73c | 105.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Team Falcons | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Falcons | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 97.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Team Falcons | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Team Falcons | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 82.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 77.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…ed23backed Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 71.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 68.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Team Falcons | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 16c | 63.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 49.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Team Falcons | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…8267backed Team Falcons | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 40.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…2f2abacked Team Falcons | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…4134backed Team Falcons | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…3999backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 35.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…9fecbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 34.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Falcons | 64c | 34.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Team Falcons | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…e3c8backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…7547backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 27.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Team Falcons | 57c | 26.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…16c7backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Team Falcons | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…effdbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 20.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Team Falcons | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.