TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xddb8…6c31

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+123.1%+$61.56
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+244.8%+$122.41
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Magic (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.83
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+93.7%+$15.79
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.48
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$51.92
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.91
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.93
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.66
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+97.4%+$73.04
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Counter-Strike: Omega vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+194.1%+$28.57
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37.4%+$4.26
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.2%+$13.58
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+51.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26.91
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$4.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.