Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6f9f0a4e30ab0ad118c87a031bbfddd901fd20b5d2dbd827f6aaaba5d29a54a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $530,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $557,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 29c | 117,968$34,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,491.42 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdca5…d351backed Yes | 32c | 63,279$19,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,987.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 55,250$40,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,009.79 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 68c | 38,055$26,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,045.44 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 11c | 29,428$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 25,429$18,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,074.13 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 31c | 20,909$6,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,575.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 32c | 16,277$5,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,192.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 31c | 15,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 69c | 13,589$9,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 69c | 13,500$9,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 11,924$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.04 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed No | 69c | 11,575$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Yes | 33c | 9,717$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 70c | 8,571$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 71c | 8,000$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 72c | 7,694$5,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.19 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 68c | 7,500$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.96 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 69c | 7,109$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.84 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked No | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 70c | 5,986$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.19 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 68c | 5,117$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.47 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 4,586$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.77 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed Yes | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 24c | 3,758$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.65 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 32c | 3,438$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Yes | 31c | 3,273$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.03 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed No | 70c | 2,701$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 71c | 2,400$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 2,345$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.62 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 67c | 2,140$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.09 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.41 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 1,770$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.11 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 29c | 1,714$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.02 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 70c | 1,575$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…bc59backed Yes | 22c | 1,515$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 69c | 1,486$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.79 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 31c | 1,439$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 70c | 1,428$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.43 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 14c | 1,103$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…af03backed No | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 1,078$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 1,050$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 69c | 1,045$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.95 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 30c | 955.04$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.51 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 27c | 866.61$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d7…e9e4backed No | 70c | 845.86$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e0…87f3backed No | 70c | 814.29$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed No | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 32c | 796.88$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 794.99$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.32 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Yes | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…31bcbacked No | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 70c | 720$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Yes | 32c | 718.75$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b41…ad77backed No | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 11c | 700$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.83 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 29c | 693.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.53 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 31c | 652.32$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 600$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.38 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfca…bcdabacked Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 594.62$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.32 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…0c71backed No | 70c | 579.73$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed No | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 69c | 556.69$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.57 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ab…bce7backed No | 69c | 531.01$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked No | 70c | 515.71$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.71 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 481.78$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 69c | 463.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.77 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 79c | 458.08$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b90…f0b0backed Yes | 3c | 452.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 31c | 451.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7652…c6c5backed Yes | 30c | 432.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…54cfbacked No | 69c | 427.01$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 422.12$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 70c | 408.28$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 403.71$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…f27dbacked Yes | 31c | 400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked No | 68c | 382.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3723…6a4cbacked No | 70c | 369.59$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…3608backed Yes | 32c | 368.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 14c | 368.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…591fbacked No | 71c | 357.75$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 32c | 337.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?Yes won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.