Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c990cd180435bb34643698c3cf5ad585fe49769c70cefdde103088e4ed74e35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 31c | 64,070$19,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,992.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 69c | 53,922$37,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,715.78 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 27,593$8,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,366.44 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a58…61f0backed No | 70c | 16,630$11,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 16,615$5,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,102.39 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Yes | 32c | 12,900$4,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 12,170$8,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.33 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 69c | 11,364$7,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.77 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 69c | 10,546$7,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.38 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 31c | 5,901$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 32c | 3,100$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 69c | 2,609$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 31c | 2,597$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 2,211$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.27 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 70c | 2,114$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.29 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 2,020$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.9 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 1,975$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.28 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 1,912$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.6 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 1,900$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.99 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 69c | 1,700$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.09 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,515$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.84 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 70c | 1,420$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.04 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 69c | 999.98$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0c85backed No | 71c | 929.58$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.58 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…7251backed No | 71c | 897.18$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ae…e344backed No | 71c | 864.79$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 847.48$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…8675backed No | 71c | 833.8$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 819.09$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Yes | 31c | 741.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 69c | 723.12$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 32c | 596.88$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 592.33$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.06 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 580.57$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 544.42$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.1 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…d008backed No | 71c | 540.85$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 31c | 530$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…d7e5backed Yes | 22c | 510$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 30c | 510$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Yes | 23c | 499.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8723…4c06backed No | 71c | 464.79$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…3a84backed No | 79c | 447.79$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 32c | 437.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 27c | 435.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…1d29backed No | 71c | 425.35$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 403.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 31c | 387.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 10c | 378.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 31c | 372$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff82…80d6backed No | 70c | 338.57$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…4f66backed No | 70c | 321.43$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 32c | 312.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…4034backed Yes | 29c | 311.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b99…4960backed No | 70c | 304.29$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 72c | 300$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…0f92backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcf…483fbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x390b…78ccbacked No | 70c | 298.57$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…ef29backed No | 70c | 287.14$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…3133backed No | 70c | 282.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 19c | 266.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 33c | 212.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 18c | 199.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…e9f7backed Yes | 31c | 196.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…b3c9backed Yes | 25c | 193.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…1f5fbacked No | 71c | 190.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 69c | 182.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…eb89backed Yes | 17c | 170.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Yes | 31c | 170$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…32fcbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 152$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Yes | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 141.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2044…cabcbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Yes | 29c | 137.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…0747backed Yes | 32c | 137.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 25c | 136.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 30c | 134.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 30c | 133$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 70c | 131.43$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed No | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Yes | 31c | 123.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 30c | 120.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 31c | 119.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked No | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?Yes won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.