Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x726f3425b0a7c9856da3e33f2e65025fd8ec725f7ad15dd0ea352b105ace1bc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,279,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,431,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,279,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 809 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd25c…4d20backed Yes | 40c | 2,328,676$925,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402,842.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 60c | 670,270$399,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399,859.25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 60c | 311,700$187,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187,020 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 58c | 269,948$157,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157,870.65 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 218,089$108,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,654.4 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 203,181$79,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,311.55 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 60c | 163,918$98,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,871.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 60c | 150,000$90,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,499.88 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 143,709$57,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,297.1 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 61c | 135,385$82,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,385.12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 134,612$80,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,689.77 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 61c | 134,460$81,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,563.38 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 60c | 100,000$60,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,499.99 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 60c | 72,533$43,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,157.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 72,360$43,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,551.13 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 39c | 57,733$22,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,237.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 38c | 54,965$20,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,077.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 62c | 53,491$32,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,914.4 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 60c | 41,428$24,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,933.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 60c | 34,428$20,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,771.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 28,857$17,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,591.15 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 61c | 26,834$16,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,368.73 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 39c | 26,000$10,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,925 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Yes | 40c | 25,956$10,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,573.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 62c | 24,693$15,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,268 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 22,423$12,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,433.5 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 39c | 21,872$8,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,404.29 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed No | 61c | 21,250$12,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,969.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 61c | 20,205$12,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,858.77 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 60c | 19,945$11,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,886.43 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 62c | 19,844$12,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,217.38 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 62c | 19,513$12,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,097.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 61c | 18,994$11,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,553.92 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 61c | 18,100$10,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,990 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 12c | 16,941$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 62c | 16,599$10,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,291.48 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 63c | 15,210$9,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,549.76 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 56c | 14,011$7,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,846.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 61c | 13,128$8,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,040.3 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 61c | 13,000$7,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,930 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Yes | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 60c | 12,682$7,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,609 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 39c | 12,500$4,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,623.95 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 62c | 12,150$7,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,532.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 60c | 12,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 60c | 11,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 38c | 10,806$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 42c | 10,000$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…ebf5backed Yes | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 61c | 9,900$6,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 61c | 9,035$5,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,511.48 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 61c | 9,000$5,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,470 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 61c | 8,793$5,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.42 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 62c | 8,262$5,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,122.44 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 8,194$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Yes | 38c | 8,006$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,979.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 62c | 7,984$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 7,944$4,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,641.51 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 61c | 6,938$4,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,234.83 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 62c | 6,650$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 63c | 6,649$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,189.08 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 61c | 6,421$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 6,247$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.99 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 38c | 5,931$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…3589backed Yes | 41c | 5,114$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 10c | 4,779$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.3 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 41c | 4,417$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.67 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes | 39c | 4,213$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.23 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 37c | 4,017$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 60c | 3,899$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 39c | 3,846$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.15 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 61c | 3,837$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.52 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed No | 62c | 3,714$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 63c | 3,030$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 4c | 3,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 40c | 2,963$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.89 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 63c | 2,807$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.41 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 60c | 2,777$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.97 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…9f9bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…56febacked Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 62c | 2,400$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 37c | 2,367$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.21 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…400dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,199$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 60c | 2,188$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.23 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…a5f9backed No | 60c | 2,179$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 57c | 2,126$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.1 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.