TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf984…24ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
359
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.43
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.59
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$1,156.71
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.54
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Panama vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$622.47
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.89
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.42
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$270.83
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.6
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.4
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.91
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$484.1
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.5
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT7320.5%15 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$257.6
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.64
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.8
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.44
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.78
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.43
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+90%+$23.68
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$107.2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$132.92
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+52.1%+$154.2
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$221.26
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$394.2
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$152.2
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+745%+$197.17
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$160.12
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT7131%22 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$171.66
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$976.47
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$97.5
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$329.93
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$124.8
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$860
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.37
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Will Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.74
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$983
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$50
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$6,266.67
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,350.2
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$555
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$896.5
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,500
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$612.07
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$319.27
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,890
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,277.78
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+135.4%+$1,895.3
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$1,155.25
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,256Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,360.61
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,617Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,683
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$376
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+162.4%+$222.8
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+168.7%+$282.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$67.94
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$312
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+284.6%+$370
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$495
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$671
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+170.5%+$2,531.61
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,559.78
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$700.8
Will Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$417.13
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$468
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$341.1
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-72.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.02
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.8
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$276
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.9
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$996
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$274
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+177.8%+$960
RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$305
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$705.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$93.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.4
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$102.03
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$307
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$342.22
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,320
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+150%+$375
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$285
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$201.29
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$197.6
FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+127.3%+$252
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick35cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.25
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$143
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.