TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No75c21,808$16,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,512.77255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa79e…1fb0backed No78c12,150$9,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,673.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No78c9,681$7,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.6628345.2%128 W · 155 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes19c6,968$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.8364043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b90…52aebacked Yes13c6,594$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes20c4,599$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc899…e1fdbacked No79c3,848$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.134100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes20c2,784$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.897538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes22c2,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402520%5 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes21c2,446$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.7138748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c1,988$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.13339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+84.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes17c1,967$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.3614315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No79c1,818$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.7811354.9%62 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x872e…e58fbacked Yes26c1,693$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes19c1,581$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3917247.1%81 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704318.6%8 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c1,434$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.12,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes22c1,391$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.021127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes23c1,368$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes17c1,211$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8722245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes9c1,196$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c1,163$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.491,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes24c1,050$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes23c971.85$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.89248.9%45 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c906.62$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.6340744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34eb…eabbbacked Yes9c880.47$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes19c726.32$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Yes3c726.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes18c720.04$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2369851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes11c700$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.75024%12 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes22c497.37$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.423132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes22c464.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9811447.4%54 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes22c461.36$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes20c449.21$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.393,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Yes20c433.01$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.63259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes20c380.79$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1620845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes21c366.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9626445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes19c344.91$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.535030%15 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes22c340.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+33.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes5c336.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Yes17c329.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.071729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes6c320.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes22c307.18$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.585131.4%16 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes21c295.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1322047.3%104 W · 116 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes7c281.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+55.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Yes29c228.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.321050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e91…4e8bbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Yes20c220$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448756.3%49 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4429855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No79c199.24$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.348844.3%39 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes21c195.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.841,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…c5bdbacked Yes25c186.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes20c176.65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5242046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes22c163.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.871353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+147.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94bf…ee06backed Yes19c161.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…c3c4backed Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes32c152.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.962347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No80c151.26$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7562452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Yes18c144.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+147.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes21c139$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.194634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes10c134.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d2c…86bcbacked Yes22c127.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No80c120$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2416343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df1…e624backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes22c118.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.092540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No79c114.73$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.525756.1%32 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No75c111.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3717456.9%99 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Yes22c103.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.031533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes17c102.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2026…e212backed Yes24c102.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228458.3%49 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4728755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012346.3%57 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe290…7fb0backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511539.1%45 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae19…9d13backed Yes26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No72c92.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed No79c90$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.96100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes22c88.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No78c87.33$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.213467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes28c83.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3939558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes26c80.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216030%18 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.