Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x404f12bb722b852dc4d7401bb687ccd2fece61481ec4cedcdb77dfcf2a791b13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $896,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,020,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $896,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 717 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 67c | 111,535$75,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,022.57 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 59c | 44,258$26,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,166.38 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 30c | 36,086$10,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,259.44 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 35,130$14,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,518.44 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 42c | 34,699$14,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,573.74 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 57c | 28,412$16,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,292.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 43c | 20,105$8,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,719.24 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 35c | 18,198$6,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,767.32 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 58c | 17,500$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 39c | 16,664$6,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,107.31 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 26c | 16,299$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,208.1 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed No | 25c | 16,206$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 42c | 16,143$6,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,780.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 61c | 14,426$8,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,668.47 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked No | 68c | 13,882$9,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,433.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…8ed4backed Yes | 58c | 10,345$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 57c | 9,533$5,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.03 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 44c | 9,422$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,145.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 43c | 9,316$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.77 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 8,900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 47c | 8,714$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.27 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 48c | 8,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.98 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 32c | 7,755$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,254.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…47e7backed Yes | 75c | 7,184$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 2c | 6,197$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 50c | 5,946$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.95 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed No | 67c | 5,876$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 43c | 5,200$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…471bbacked No | 41c | 5,043$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ae…e398backed Yes | 59c | 5,038$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…56febacked No | 41c | 5,038$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…65d1backed Yes | 59c | 5,027$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…5af2backed Yes | 59c | 4,868$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…88dabacked Yes | 59c | 4,862$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…7e7abacked No | 43c | 4,800$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…ce65backed No | 41c | 4,799$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d96…ff58backed No | 41c | 4,799$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 43c | 4,598$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.27 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 49c | 4,570$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.95 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 42c | 4,484$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.43 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed No | 28c | 4,359$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 51c | 4,240$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.64 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 36c | 4,167$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.67 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Yes | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 44c | 3,922$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 35c | 3,910$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 35c | 3,818$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.45 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 42c | 3,760$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.7 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 59c | 3,150$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 44c | 3,136$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Yes | 38c | 3,057$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 43c | 3,045$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.95 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 42c | 2,918$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.89 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed No | 43c | 2,907$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 57c | 2,679$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.47 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Yes | 52c | 2,524$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 2,498$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.36 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 2,424$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.24 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 2,333$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.33 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 57c | 2,281$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 57c | 2,193$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.98 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 2,142$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.02 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 2,117$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.32 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 40c | 2,044$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.55 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 1,947$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.25 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Yes | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…fbf5backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…f105backed Yes | 58c | 1,722$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…5ba1backed Yes | 58c | 1,699$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 63c | 1,672$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.52 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 58c | 1,626$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.85 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 58c | 1,617$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 44c | 1,600$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…3289backed Yes | 62c | 1,600$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,544$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 43c | 1,520$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.45 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…04bebacked Yes | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,491$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 1,459$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.21 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…a5efbacked Yes | 58c | 1,398$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,353$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 41c | 1,334$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.33 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 36c | 1,307$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.18 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…c23dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,306$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed No | 43c | 1,288$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 41c | 1,270$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.27 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.