TailMyPicks
Market

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$362,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$359,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c66,652$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.653327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes20c30,915$6,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,328.457538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No78c19,826$15,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300.415440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes5c18,971$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.572339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes37c16,664$6,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,086.477255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked No80c12,531$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.11681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes21c7,256$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.611942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes20c7,253$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.4869851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked No80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes20c6,243$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.5928345.2%128 W · 155 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c4,776$3,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.671,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Yes21c4,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes14c4,606$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.864043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c4,484$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.592,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.995923.7%14 W · 45 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick34cpaid+8.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No79c3,800$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.7238748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.776159%36 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Yes41c3,440$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c3,150$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.57111.3%8 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes24c3,000$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7052520%5 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-60.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked No79c2,872$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.15922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-62.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No54c2,331$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.465945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No79c2,243$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.7627138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No79c2,222$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.624965.3%32 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes46c2,178$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes39c2,120$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.3614315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c2,013$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.891,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No61c2,000$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7903339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+84.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c1,981$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.813,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No79c1,725$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.1611447.4%54 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No79c1,457$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.943259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No74c1,400$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3634257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No70c1,296$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.0326445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No79c1,296$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.628755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No80c1,198$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.67750.6%39 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes4c1,178$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.122245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes39c1,103$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.0412832%41 W · 87 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes41c1,013$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No80c999.97$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9929855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No79c956.42$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8520845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No60c926.95$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.036051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-64.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No72c861.55$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2940744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No80c814.66$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.935964.4%38 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Yes38c739.96$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.19922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-69.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013129.8%39 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes22c627.27$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes45c597.91$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes9c588.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.714858.3%28 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+49.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes17c570$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.171,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Yes15c533.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed No61c527.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes20c507.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6511338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+41.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2055356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes20c500$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10211956.3%67 W · 52 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Yes8c449.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes16c433.92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.435030%15 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes21c428$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8856951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes31c409$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.292347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+70.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes22c399.32$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.854017.5%7 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa372…d890backed Yes21c380.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes15c379.07$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.17520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No80c375.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No80c340.7$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4216846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes21c335.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.44641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes17c328$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7618554.1%100 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes17c323.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.065952.5%31 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed No56c318.54$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.162882.1%23 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2026…e212backed Yes22c318.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed No79c316.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.46540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick74cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes21c308.46$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No77c286.05$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.998451.2%43 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes22c275$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.54740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Yes17c273.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.51020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes21c263.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes11c262$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4414652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes39c257$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2317247.1%81 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f6…d6b6backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes17c252$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8410647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505375.5%40 W · 13 L+10.0wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+41.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed Yes44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d1…7618backed No79c240.51$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.51580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Yes41c231.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa474…61babacked No79c227.48$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No79c217.29$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.632250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426055%33 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed No77c199.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed Yes21c195.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.06742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No72c191.84$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.787365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d4d…4f6bbacked No79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick77cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.874062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Yes17c188.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+116.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ec…1792backed Yes9c182.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.