TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d1a…e943

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
311
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT21524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 215 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$546.48
National Bank Open: Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
National Bank Open: Valentin Royer vs Tommy Paulbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonsecabacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Duncan Chan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norriebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landalucebacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+211.8%+$2,298.02
Lexington: Felix Gill vs Borna Gojobacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Katie Boulter vs Kayla Crossbacked Kayla Cross · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+318%+$794.99
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+205.1%+$1,815
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$537.72
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Arthur Geabacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elina Svitolinabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+157.4%+$1,574.31
Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$473
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+6,339.6%+$2,971.28
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$338
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$693
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.27
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Frances Tiafoe be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Showing 25 of 215 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+357%+$481.92
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$302.22
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$550.5
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$65.11
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$435
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$412
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$65.32
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+351%+$2,737.83
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+565.2%+$2,712.9
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.85
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+278.5%+$1,947.31
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.82
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.68
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,150.69
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.72
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+226.3%+$339.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+144.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+208.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+180%+$156.56
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+236.9%+$209.46
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.