Tennis · resolved market
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11056cda53f33ebf9ebab7ba70fb4787e95f37a9e8e16fe2a752585bfb62b342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cameron Norrieof Camilo Ugo Carabelli, Cameron Norrie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 23c | 88,488$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cameron Norrie | 77c | 42,688$32,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,818.13 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 12c | 37,791$4,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.35 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…3a54backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 1c | 25,279$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.63 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cameron Norrie | 80c | 23,608$18,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,822.24 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cameron Norrie | 80c | 13,660$10,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.5 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Cameron Norrie | 80c | 9,799$7,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.54 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Cameron Norrie | 78c | 8,320$6,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.4 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Cameron Norrie | 80c | 7,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 14c | 6,736$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.64 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 19c | 6,711$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.71 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Cameron Norrie | 79c | 6,578$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.44 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 20c | 6,124$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.19 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 21c | 5,859$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.39 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 1c | 4,587$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 19c | 4,087$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.53 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 5c | 2,723$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Cameron Norrie | 79c | 2,719$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.21 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cameron Norrie | 78c | 2,570$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.4 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 22c | 2,545$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 22c | 2,437$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…ccb4backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 22c | 2,212$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 14c | 2,197$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.81 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 30c | 2,085$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.83 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 16c | 2,021$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.54 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 11c | 1,994$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 21c | 1,836$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.82 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Cameron Norrie | 71c | 1,831$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.99 | 207 | 49.8%103 W · 104 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 10c | 1,795$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.79 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 18c | 1,714$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.6 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 13c | 1,707$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.96 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 20c | 1,536$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 28c | 1,524$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.78 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cameron Norrie | 79c | 1,473$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.38 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cameron Norrie | 80c | 1,351$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.16 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Cameron Norrie | 78c | 1,122$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.76 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 10c | 960.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 22c | 916.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 14c | 909.45$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3607backed Cameron Norrie | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 18c | 712.39$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cameron Norrie | 79c | 704.82$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.01 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 22c | 660.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.14 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…44f2backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 21c | 657.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…ced5backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 18c | 611.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 21c | 608.17$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Cameron Norrie | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 19c | 600$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 18c | 572.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…a377backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 19c | 501.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 21c | 478.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cameron Norrie | 79c | 476.19$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 20c | 476.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 20c | 465.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Cameron Norrie | 78c | 460$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cameron Norrie | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0b14backed Cameron Norrie | 79c | 410$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 105 | 73.3%77 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Cameron Norrie | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 21c | 402.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 23c | 399.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Cameron Norrie | 77c | 398.87$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 18c | 364$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cameron Norrie | 76c | 353.45$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 21c | 349.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 18c | 300.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Cameron Norrie | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 21c | 295.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…d87cbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 27c | 259.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed Cameron Norrie | 80c | 257.05$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 15c | 256.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Cameron Norrie | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 20c | 255.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 21c | 212.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…c129backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 22c | 202.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 21c | 202$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Cameron Norrie | 79c | 188.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Cameron Norrie | 79c | 188$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Cameron Norrie | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Cameron Norrie | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Cameron Norrie | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 18c | 149.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…3cabbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Cameron Norrie | 80c | 138.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Cameron Norrie | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 24c | 132$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Cameron Norrie | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Cameron Norrie | 79c | 126.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norriethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Carabelli vs NorrieNorrie won
- Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)Norrie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.