TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaa52…3607

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6460.9%39 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$252.35
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.2
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+128%+$69.1
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$60
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$45.8
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baezbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$6.7
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+458.7%+$73.89
Cincinnati Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$92.81
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT5450%27 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.4
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+275.1%+$762.72
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$12.53
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.02
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$38.22
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$7.78
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$25.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+90%+$23.69
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.84
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$22.17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$93
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+148.3%+$20.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$100.7
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$12.05
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$22.3
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+68.1%+$8.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+34%+$4.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefgbacked IlloJuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRobacked Samy Rivers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$13.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Maryville University vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winnerbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.