Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aa8043fb24eee226d2fdcd4c439e1d8ff908050051a47f5efacd81c53b0d934

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $452,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $585,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,245 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x43cb…84dfbacked No	10c	16,201$1,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,689.32	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	11c	15,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No	11c	10,805$1,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,203.62	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Yes	78c	10,596$8,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,365.18	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	69cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	18c	10,245$1,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,876.56	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	12c	9,739$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.12	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	10c	8,647$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.32	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	10c	7,596$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.22	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	23c	6,856$1,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,576.88	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	13c	6,421$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825.56	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked No	13c	6,089$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$783.96	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…5621backed No	10c	6,081$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.7	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8d…f822backed No	17c	5,964$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,013.6	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	15c	4,851$741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.79	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	79c	4,018$3,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.94	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes	78c	4,000$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	21c	3,910$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.94	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	13c	3,446$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.38	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c01…797dbacked No	12c	3,380$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.56	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	22cpaid	-88%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	21c	3,342$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.47	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked No	12c	3,333$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.96	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	33cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc691…389cbacked No	22c	2,812$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.64	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	17c	2,675$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.59	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	19c	2,666$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.42	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No	25c	2,591$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.45	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	11c	2,552$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.43	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No	21c	2,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.99	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	15c	2,487$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.52	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	11c	2,435$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.7	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc89f…695bbacked No	20c	2,265$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.4	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed No	18c	2,261$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.06	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-59%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	11c	2,240$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.79	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed No	10c	2,132$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.19	272	27.6%75 W · 197 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	17c	2,095$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.44	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad8…41b6backed No	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	11c	1,928$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.54	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	21c	1,896$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.97	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b7…f103backed Yes	77c	1,800$1,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	38cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	26c	1,757$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.59	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	22c	1,736$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.04	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	74c	1,707$1,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.87	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed No	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	74c	1,659$1,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.28	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No	26c	1,413$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.9	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…d338backed Yes	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	20c	1,317$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.3	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	37c	1,302$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.47	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	23c	1,300$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.69	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No	15c	1,227$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.44	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-7.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7dff…ae3cbacked No	9c	1,221$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.89	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	14c	1,200$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.8	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	17c	1,154$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.53	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	22c	1,083$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.55	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked Yes	77c	1,000$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	24c	999.98$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.99	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	17c	931$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.77	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	28c	923.45$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.55	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	15c	904.67$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.47	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No	26c	799.99$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	70c	793.27$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.27	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefd…272fbacked Yes	76c	789.47$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.47	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb82…ef9bbacked Yes	74c	753.9$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.9	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bad…201abacked No	12c	750$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	25c	685.63$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.41	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff1…98d7backed Yes	79c	640.28$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.55	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	79c	594.89$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.35	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa3…c097backed No	13c	570$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.1	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	15c	569.43$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.09	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	21c	563.58$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.05	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No	18c	546.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.22	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7c…d095backed Yes	75c	500$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…e258backed Yes	74c	500$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf39…3101backed Yes	77c	499.99$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes	78c	492.43$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.83	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No	27c	470.63$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.05	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0d…40cabacked No	53c	465.23$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf70c…4e63backed No	32c	461.99$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.41	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…c3ffbacked No	23c	437.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed No	24c	422.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No	21c	414.5$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.19	544	50.6%275 W · 269 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No	25c	402.67$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.67	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No	16c	389.81$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.14	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5175…1546backed Yes	80c	380$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed No	22c	377.27$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	61c	329.77$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.09	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No	25c	312$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5057…376fbacked No	16c	310.24$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.64	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+48%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No	17c	303.97$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.68	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4cb…63bebacked Yes	76c	300$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked Yes	76c	300$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	45	64.4%29 W · 16 L	+5.1wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	17c	293.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.26	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	26c	283.29$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.97	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd59b…5c85backed Yes	73c	273.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.97	149	73.2%109 W · 40 L	+17.6wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	16c	271.67$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.47	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc0…d6b3backed Yes	57c	269.99$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.09	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ce3…2317backed Yes	75c	266.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bdb5backed Yes	75c	266.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	67cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	15c	265.45$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.66	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked No	9c	262.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.61	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event