Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eed3a9b18a02c5bfaca9d3736e24c0b01023a50a4cc8c45dadfb6f5e142b880

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $554,702
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $640,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,702 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed No	10c	54,936$5,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,627.8	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	10c	36,530$3,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,833.59	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No	19c	30,586$5,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,889.22	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No	11c	24,715$2,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,718.63	86	60.5%52 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	10c	23,635$2,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,420.71	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	11c	21,869$2,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,501.6	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No	20c	13,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	11c	12,000$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339.99	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	12c	10,323$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.01	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	14c	9,743$1,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,395.33	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	19c	7,925$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.32	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	11c	7,885$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.31	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	7c	7,866$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.58	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed No	11c	7,573$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855.94	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	16c	5,015$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.99	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3ee3backed No	11c	4,860$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.57	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	15c	4,455$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	10c	4,363$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.18	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	13c	4,070$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.62	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	12c	4,001$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.12	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	18c	3,707$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.23	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No	11c	3,387$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.53	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	19c	3,334$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.97	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	16c	3,239$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.94	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No	22c	2,830$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.42	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	17c	2,797$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.81	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed No	18c	2,760$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.96	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	14c	2,636$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.99	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No	12c	2,602$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.21	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-7.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	11c	2,500$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.72	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	11c	2,500$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.71	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	11c	2,157$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.32	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	14c	2,146$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.31	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	12c	2,118$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.11	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ad8…41b6backed No	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	16c	2,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfca…9722backed No	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	18c	1,933$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.97	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48b7…f103backed Yes	79c	1,500$1,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	38cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed No	21c	1,426$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed No	12c	1,400$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.03	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No	9c	1,331$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.85	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc1…560bbacked No	11c	1,300$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	16c	1,272$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.52	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd2…193bbacked Yes	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xefee…5c77backed Yes	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	5c	1,199$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.06	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	20c	1,135$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.79	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	15c	1,120$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf7a…0c40backed No	16c	1,103$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.11	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No	21c	1,067$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.06	214	44.4%95 W · 119 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	12c	1,012$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.08	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked Yes	78c	999.99$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f81…fc4abacked No	22c	975.36$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.2	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	10c	962.39$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.71	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfac1…2d57backed Yes	80c	960$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e5…7127backed No	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed No	10c	800$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	17c	792$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.64	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb82…ef9bbacked Yes	80c	750$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	7c	723.96$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.48	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	13c	690.55$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.02	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	13c	667.75$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.43	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd07…e955backed Yes	80c	631.92$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed No	11c	571.22$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.16	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No	13c	549.44$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.83	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	10c	538.89$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.7	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f7…0312backed Yes	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57ee…7b80backed No	14c	499.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…c3ffbacked No	21c	487.43$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed No	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	19c	473.76$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.95	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	18c	444.44$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked No	9c	437.03$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.33	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	12c	419.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.29	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Yes	80c	400$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	14c	385.47$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.81	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f87…2b4dbacked Yes	79c	379.41$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.41	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	61cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	12c	336$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.24	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No	16c	333.62$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.28	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x083d…4d61backed No	11c	318.18$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed No	16c	313.13$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.9	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	13c	299.98$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab5…f570backed No	7c	290$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.56	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	-10.9wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-74%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked No	18c	268.95$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.41	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed No	13c	254.25$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.49	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59c6…8332backed Yes	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	13c	252.68$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.7	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4b0…427ebacked No	21c	250$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed No	15c	239.46$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.55	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	544	50.6%275 W · 269 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed Yes	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	313	58.1%182 W · 131 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507b…0742backed Yes	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16f…9f16backed Yes	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed No	19c	199.98$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	18c	190$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	20c	189.91$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.98	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event