Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3032cb496c0e8e23460d972518d8e9007ea69907a15250f7b07458726095bb8b

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $131,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $140,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,822 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2f77…9da4backed Yes	35c	17,183$6,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,080	46	65.2%30 W · 16 L	+8.3wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	69c	15,383$10,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,754.61	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Yes	32c	12,895$4,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,130.38	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed Yes	46c	10,572$4,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,889.06	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-31%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	57c	9,253$5,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,988.47	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	63c	6,376$4,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,329.41	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaec7…03efbacked Yes	34c	3,917$1,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,351.03	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	58c	3,872$2,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,644.62	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	69c	3,265$2,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$995.93	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	42c	2,999$1,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.44	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…ce0cbacked Yes	41c	2,927$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.07	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	57c	2,863$1,639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,224.02	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	39c	2,606$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.82	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked No	59c	2,422$1,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.39	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes	45c	2,274$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,023.17	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc89f…695bbacked No	62c	2,000$1,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Yes	40c	2,000$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.3	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes	33c	1,926$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.92	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x769c…3d88backed No	58c	1,740$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.32	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	43c	1,631$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.33	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	57c	1,541$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.33	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	43c	1,464$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.52	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	60c	1,444$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.6	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	69c	1,247$861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.01	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	39c	1,237$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.35	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f9…a4c5backed Yes	43c	1,151$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked No	59c	1,017$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.07	97	60.8%59 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf39…3101backed No	79c	972.6$771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.86	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	21c	900.99$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.45	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	57c	895.06$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.23	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked No	67c	777$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.41	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No	70c	757.44$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.94	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb850…7597backed Yes	2c	733.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	2cpaid	+370.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes	42c	706.93$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	165	52.1%86 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefe6…6cf5backed Yes	41c	682.93$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	58c	659.49$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.62	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	43c	640$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.8	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	57c	546.4$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	68c	542.49$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.36	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	77c	533.57$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.32	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	17c	468.25$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.13	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed Yes	19c	439.98$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.6	67	23.9%16 W · 51 L	-7.5wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	57c	428.89$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.42	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes	42c	409.79$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.11	142	32.4%46 W · 96 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked No	62c	393.77$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.99	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed No	60c	386.66$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.67	114	53.5%61 W · 53 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	21c	383.18$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	57c	373.55$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.78	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b4…a549backed Yes	45c	333.98$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.29	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked Yes	12c	333.16$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.17	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7039…4a7dbacked No	60c	323.56$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.42	31	83.9%26 W · 5 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	67cpaid	+26%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No	69c	321.4$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.65	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Yes	41c	309.76$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed No	65c	300$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	41c	299.99$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No	64c	299.89$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.16	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No	60c	272.21$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.88	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes	46c	266.43$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.56	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes	33c	262.75$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.96	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes	44c	255.04$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.22	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1104…002abacked Yes	45c	255$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.25	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-48%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…d3fdbacked Yes	41c	248$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.68	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-6.6wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ce3…ba3fbacked Yes	41c	248$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed No	56c	246.98$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.67	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8d…f822backed Yes	37c	245$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.65	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	139	51.8%72 W · 67 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No	59c	225.17$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.31	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd201…90e5backed Yes	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e89…b12dbacked Yes	45c	221.02$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	75c	216$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.69	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf53e…2728backed No	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63b5…7ec8backed Yes	17c	199.98$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	26cpaid	-86.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked No	77c	196$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.17	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No	56c	195.67$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.98	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	60c	190.25$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.74	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	63c	187.51$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.38	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	73c	180.53$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.92	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes	43c	179.4$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.14	135	56.3%76 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c1f…88eabacked Yes	41c	170.73$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	30c	170$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.02	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Yes	41c	165$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.65	236	40.3%95 W · 141 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4e…8e54backed No	71c	162.74$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.74	104	61.5%64 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Yes	31c	161.87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	64c	157.8$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.81	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8d…1a96backed No	55c	157.79$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.01	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	62cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No	56c	152.99$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.57	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes	26c	144.25$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.16	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11ed…6d16backed Yes	29c	141$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.25	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Yes	19c	132.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	-7.7wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	26c	132.11$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1b…aa6cbacked Yes	44c	131.82$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Yes	41c	125$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.25	156	55.8%87 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes	48c	124.2$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.59	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa36b…f273backed Yes	41c	124$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.84	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No	64c	119.42$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.99	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0b…3088backed Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	60c	118.21$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.67	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed Yes	32c	110.52$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.37	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	60c	109.78$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.69	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event