Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa86925685e73b8773635b4401da12adea1a4d76cfeda0c1ec474073be176a80a

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $110,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $121,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,660 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	32c	10,361$3,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,271.37	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes	70c	7,400$5,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,220	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed No	42c	7,000$2,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,974.96	91	26.4%24 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f77…9da4backed Yes	68c	5,868$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,867.96	46	65.2%30 W · 16 L	+8.3wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdf70…5e92backed Yes	69c	5,454$3,759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,695.38	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	32c	4,547$1,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,465.46	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No	28c	4,179$1,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,186	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No	33c	3,802$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,266.94	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	33c	3,151$1,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,042.42	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	10c	3,104$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.29	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed No	31c	3,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-59%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	68c	2,999$2,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$954.24	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	66c	2,961$1,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$998.44	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…ce0cbacked Yes	69c	2,899$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$898.55	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	31c	2,813$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	33c	2,520$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.87	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8d…1a96backed No	30c	2,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	62cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	32c	2,499$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.76	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	58c	2,478$1,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.19	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Yes	67c	2,246$1,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741.25	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	31c	2,120$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	69c	1,652$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.12	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	39c	1,566$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.87	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	33c	1,531$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	69c	1,499$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.83	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f8…81bdbacked Yes	67c	1,496$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.68	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	31c	1,395$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.32	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes	59c	1,362$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561.73	165	52.1%86 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes	59c	1,336$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.48	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Yes	67c	1,217$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.61	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	4c	1,200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	2c	1,150$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.04	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No	33c	1,141$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.49	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1499…6690backed Yes	69c	1,116$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.93	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed Yes	69c	1,094$755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.2	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed Yes	66c	1,014$674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.65	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b1c…1ec7backed No	33c	1,010$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.33	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2080…36d2backed Yes	66c	968.43$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.25	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	34c	915.29$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.48	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8603…fb04backed No	33c	905.2$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c81…8583backed Yes	57c	877.19$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.19	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	34c	799.94$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.98	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	64c	761.14$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.22	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b85…2e56backed Yes	67c	747$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.51	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	33c	716.51$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes	64c	700.25$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.96	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	31c	667.42$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.06	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d23…9517backed Yes	67c	657.45$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.96	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	75c	621.82$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.69	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x110c…4c80backed Yes	64c	620.49$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.78	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7007…5c07backed Yes	67c	594.09$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.09	148	41.9%62 W · 86 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	32c	591.69$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.84	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed Yes	68c	588.68$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.68	100	60%60 W · 40 L	+6.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	48c	580$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.4	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	69c	571.38$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.39	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed No	32c	556.69$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.75	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes	57c	526.32$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.32	114	53.5%61 W · 53 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	54c	500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Yes	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Yes	67c	497.01$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.01	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No	15c	490.72$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.03	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	48c	466.99$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.17	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	31c	460$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.4	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	32c	430$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.35	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	34c	421.83$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.07	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No	46c	402.15$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.59	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-7.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Yes	69c	400$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.6	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb6…36d5backed No	32c	387$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.84	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	64c	383.82$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.18	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0d…40cabacked Yes	66c	378.79$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.79	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Yes	66c	376$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.35	102	70.6%72 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Yes	66c	369$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.46	128	48.4%62 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Yes	54c	362.46$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.73	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	69c	362.05$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.24	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	73c	351.56$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.06	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5441…b7d8backed Yes	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Yes	59c	340$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.4	64	29.7%19 W · 45 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	25c	339.02$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.93	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Yes	70c	321.43$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.43	102	60.8%62 W · 40 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	25cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99a5…bac4backed Yes	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked Yes	78c	296.77$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.99	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	34c	264.81$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.39	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc160…c9ebbacked No	32c	262$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.84	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.34per pick	52cpaid	+134.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59a8…8482backed Yes	58c	256.46$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.71	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	25cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked No	33c	250.75$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.75	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa02d…5f3bbacked Yes	59c	250$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.5	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes	70c	248.45$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.54	169	46.2%78 W · 91 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes	69c	245.16$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	135	56.3%76 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab5…f570backed No	27c	240$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.92	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	-10.9wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-74%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x8a39…14c8backed Yes	69c	240$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.88	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	41c	235.97$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.59	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5f…dc31backed Yes	69c	234.78$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.78	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked No	36c	234$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.24	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd74c…e70bbacked No	42c	232$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.06	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	34c	228$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.46	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0082…c023backed No	17c	224.6$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.89	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-44%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce00…1cbebacked Yes	67c	223$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.59	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event