Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x616ed1759b5c70dc54468cab2d0650f817c5442068bb9da8af9034c406e60b8b

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $69,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,995 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd352…4ad6backed No	78c	8,500$6,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,903.15	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	20c	5,633$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.85	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	20c	4,651$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.86	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes	24c	4,100$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	20c	3,456$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.2	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	15c	2,550$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.86	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	75c	2,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe9…d22ebacked Yes	18c	1,717$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.3	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.17per pick	35cpaid	+30%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No	71c	1,556$1,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.67	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	+11.1wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+24%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	78c	1,474$1,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.02	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes	16c	1,048$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.2	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x895f…cfadbacked Yes	17c	999.97$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	16c	998.51$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.35	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	17c	943.89$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.46	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	17c	794.55$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.97	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed No	79c	759.49$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.49	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+7.5wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	6c	755.25$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.21	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes	20c	699.99$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	114	53.5%61 W · 53 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x410c…7d2fbacked Yes	19c	630.95$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes	17c	612.48$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.12	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	18c	524$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.32	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	77c	500$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	79c	470.15$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.89	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	76c	450$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.8	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5693…5d2abacked Yes	18c	432.28$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.81	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x048b…6e0cbacked Yes	23c	424.22$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes	24c	420$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	111	65.8%73 W · 38 L	+15.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes	27c	371.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	73c	341.48$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.2	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Yes	23c	312$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.76	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes	14c	299.73$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.86	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	17c	248.01$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.07	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0720backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	152	46.1%70 W · 82 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9244…d886backed Yes	18c	196.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ae…5289backed Yes	18c	186.11$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1b…aa6cbacked No	77c	177.92$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.92	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	78c	167$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.53	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes	23c	164.16$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.76	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	75c	153$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.83	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed Yes	17c	148.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.19	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e66…bb4bbacked Yes	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49a1…1c02backed Yes	18c	141.48$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…974ebacked Yes	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…5621backed Yes	15c	126$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.61	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Yes	23c	111.9$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	180	43.9%79 W · 101 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed No	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe24b…5142backed Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe781…8363backed Yes	18c	79.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcabf…0fbdbacked Yes	19c	71.05$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	18c	69.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda70…df1dbacked Yes	22c	69.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4615…5ccbbacked No	78c	60$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	51	72.5%37 W · 14 L	+7.6wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Yes	22c	55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	358	48.3%173 W · 185 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa530…88f6backed No	78c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.16per pick	57cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b43…31cebacked Yes	23c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b6…3158backed No	79c	49.99$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+8.0wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	74c	43.08$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x296b…a965backed No	77c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5c…4bf5backed No	79c	38.2$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	82	68.3%56 W · 26 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	73c	27.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb5cd…6055backed No	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	68c	21.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.11	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	80c	21$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0016…fe14backed No	78c	17.2$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.78	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8267…049ebacked No	77c	16.23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.73	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	67cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event