Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26f7aac05232d917ca3cc570afef59a88ab156a10beb0f1abddf0c7221ca5c05

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $172,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $185,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,929 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5a21…9318backed No	64c	8,738$5,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,602.7	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed No	41c	8,072$3,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,289.32	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed Yes	57c	6,861$3,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,925.49	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-31%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	49c	6,518$3,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,211.52	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked Yes	16c	6,171$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,176.49	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	59c	3,904$2,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,608.69	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes	62c	3,902$2,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,492.77	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes	58c	3,827$2,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,595.66	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2320…4869backed Yes	63c	3,757$2,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,377.01	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	68cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x410c…7d2fbacked Yes	62c	3,688$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,387.74	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b2…b501backed Yes	62c	3,398$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,297.73	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	39c	3,000$1,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,165.42	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No	36c	2,800$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	62c	2,730$1,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,048.89	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	38c	2,640$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.43	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	20c	2,592$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,073.45	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Yes	58c	2,445$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,026.9	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…5621backed Yes	79c	2,405$1,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.92	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8603…fb04backed Yes	65c	2,014$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.17	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	60c	1,837$1,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.8	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	47c	1,823$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.64	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	40c	1,823$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.83	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80f1…3ccdbacked No	41c	1,800$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed No	41c	1,586$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.18	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes	63c	1,584$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.83	165	52.1%86 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x530d…77f2backed Yes	59c	1,580$932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.8	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	64c	1,554$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.97	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	38c	1,509$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.07	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	38c	1,500$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d2…7fbcbacked Yes	67c	1,494$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.02	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+3.0wins	+0.27per pick	64cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x110c…4c80backed Yes	75c	1,447$1,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.51	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked No	41c	1,423$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.08	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	60c	1,344$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.4	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	31c	1,320$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.18	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	62c	1,320$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.46	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No	38c	1,316$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.08	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	31c	1,274$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.66	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No	42c	1,264$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.01	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes	61c	1,230$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.51	167	46.7%78 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	26c	1,207$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.07	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	38c	1,193$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.19	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed Yes	61c	1,093$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.44	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	31c	1,082$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.86	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	4c	1,021$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.01	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf39…3101backed Yes	70c	1,020$714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.2	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	38c	1,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes	58c	1,000$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	62c	999.99$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	59c	932.2$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.2	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	39c	901.51$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.59	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…5e37backed Yes	60c	817.47$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.99	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c81…8583backed Yes	62c	806.45$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.45	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked No	41c	800$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	33cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	38c	700$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	57c	658.4$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.96	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9511…58fdbacked Yes	62c	646.98$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.73	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	59c	646.89$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.38	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked No	42c	638$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.96	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf505…4c26backed No	3c	636.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes	60c	609.83$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.55	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2080…36d2backed Yes	61c	602.26$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.78	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	39c	575.82$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.7	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92fa…4461backed Yes	61c	572.09$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.09	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked No	38c	511.51$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.37	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	24c	507.1$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.02	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	33c	501.33$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.44	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked No	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Yes	57c	500$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	38c	499.97$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.99	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	34c	488.35$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.32	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed Yes	42c	487.95$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.8	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	60c	473$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.34	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ace…a383backed Yes	64c	468.31$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.31	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.6wins	+0.37per pick	49cpaid	+88.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes	59c	456.58$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.2	191	25.1%48 W · 143 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+79.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	63c	450.33$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.33	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes	61c	429.35$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.45	169	46.2%78 W · 91 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked Yes	61c	413.1$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.1	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes	80c	410$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes	61c	410$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.9	71	56.3%40 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Yes	58c	400$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.5	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0016…fe14backed No	44c	395.69$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.69	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	38c	389.99$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.19	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe512…5751backed No	41c	366.43$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	79	26.6%21 W · 58 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed No	36c	361.73$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.68	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No	47c	348.07$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.59	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c05…71cdbacked Yes	60c	341.71$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.38	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	48	62.5%30 W · 18 L	+4.7wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bc0…d6b3backed Yes	50c	330$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.3	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Yes	61c	327.98$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.98	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes	61c	327.87$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.87	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	38c	318.6$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.07	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b4…a549backed Yes	58c	316.64$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.73	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No	37c	311.98$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.33	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…b1bcbacked Yes	62c	300$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f8…d348backed Yes	60c	300$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb51…fe5abacked No	38c	300$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	74	28.4%21 W · 53 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed No	40c	299.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed No	37c	299.77$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.91	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes	67c	298.51$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.51	176	64.8%114 W · 62 L	+11.5wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event