Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee42574c406ac2b4d1f98127705f6e96e117ee15610625fdf0f27c21702b0c7a

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $117,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $135,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,608 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8135…24fdbacked Yes	76c	8,606$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,106.03	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes	73c	8,055$5,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,186.03	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes	76c	8,000$6,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked No	30c	6,984$2,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,065.63	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No	24c	6,638$1,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,593.01	86	60.5%52 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked No	27c	5,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.97	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed No	57c	3,500$1,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,994.99	91	26.4%24 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed Yes	43c	3,219$1,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,834.94	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	28c	3,149$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.36	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	27c	2,829$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.47	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	28c	2,400$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.25	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	49c	2,297$1,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.07	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	55c	1,906$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,057.17	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked No	47c	1,889$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.83	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes	73c	1,644$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.84	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	74c	1,591$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.06	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	71c	1,567$1,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.23	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	74c	1,543$1,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.52	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	38c	1,502$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.92	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No	30c	1,479$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.75	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6790backed No	28c	1,300$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364	76	50%38 W · 38 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked No	31c	1,263$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.53	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	43c	1,146$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.76	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	26c	1,117$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.83	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…61f0backed Yes	76c	1,098$834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.47	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	72c	1,060$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.9	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	48c	1,041$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.23	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…9722backed Yes	52c	1,033$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.15	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	25c	1,032$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.39	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Yes	69c	1,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	27c	946.39$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.79	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…f88ebacked Yes	53c	918.75$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.81	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	14c	912.59$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.93	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No	58c	904.15$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	45c	888.29$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.01	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	64c	865.85$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.83	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes	64c	800.1$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.99	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b85…2e56backed Yes	75c	800$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	13c	800$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fab…232fbacked No	25c	774.69$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.67	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	24c	707.08$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.1	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…40fcbacked No	28c	702.27$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	8c	701.42$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.26	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Yes	76c	700$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	78	59%46 W · 32 L	+8.6wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	25c	688.14$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.04	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f8…81bdbacked Yes	76c	655.5$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.5	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No	4c	631.54$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.34	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	53c	612.28$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.77	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	42c	596.03$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.7	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	43c	587.27$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.82	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	25c	533$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.25	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	28c	522.08$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.83	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	53c	502$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.94	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	57c	499.97$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.99	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	46c	472.16$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.5	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes	41c	461.45$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.26	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b96…f02ebacked Yes	73c	453$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.31	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	70c	443.98$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.52	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes	43c	439.98$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.19	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f54…b1abbacked No	32c	432.25$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.23	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Yes	71c	422.54$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.54	180	43.9%79 W · 101 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	34c	412.61$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.08	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed No	27c	400$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.67	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f8…d348backed Yes	55c	400$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	74c	392.06$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.94	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf99…6a48backed No	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8603…fb04backed Yes	55c	363.91$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.91	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	56c	333.98$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.54	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc1…560bbacked No	25c	325$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.25	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed No	49c	323.97$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.75	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73b4…1fd5backed No	40c	311.56$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbfb8…9cf4backed Yes	76c	305.8$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.39	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+6.2wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea4b…1141backed Yes	69c	303.2$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.2	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfda9…0aa8backed No	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b9…fd6ebacked Yes	72c	300$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	72	61.1%44 W · 28 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed No	24c	299.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	52c	274.82$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.28	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f3…3b59backed Yes	73c	267.08$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.11	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No	24c	255.41$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.3	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	58c	252.38$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.38	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes	42c	250$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd27a…a9d1backed Yes	73c	243.84$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.84	63	68.3%43 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	69cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	56c	227.3$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.01	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed No	47c	226.52$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.46	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4840…584ebacked No	26c	226$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.76	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes	34c	219.73$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.02	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes	40c	200$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99f0…7464backed No	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	-5.2wins	-0.12per pick	21cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	139	36%50 W · 89 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Yes	53c	194$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.18	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Yes	41c	189.29$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.68	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+4.3wins	+0.15per pick	44cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44e9…ec97backed Yes	71c	187.32$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.32	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	51c	180$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.6	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76af…f17ebacked No	28c	180$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0287…97b5backed No	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf56c…e783backed Yes	73c	177.39$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.39	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Yes	73c	175.97$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.51	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No	43c	175$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.25	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c2b…ec21backed Yes	43c	174.42$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.42	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event