Fifa International · resolved market
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0c3a4f045a3f6f4d502ffc21eb2da13eb5fe232905d6d495117c25af64d6f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58e4…36f9backed Yes | 73c | 14,360$10,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,846.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 73c | 13,663$9,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed No | 28c | 12,451$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.85 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 27c | 12,238$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.51 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 36c | 10,963$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.6 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed Yes | 72c | 9,331$6,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.11 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…9da4backed Yes | 47c | 6,416$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.84 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…61f0backed Yes | 74c | 6,297$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.04 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 26c | 5,678$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.49 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 26c | 3,652$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.24 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 27c | 3,650$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.98 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 27c | 3,391$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.65 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…3a0ebacked No | 33c | 3,237$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed No | 30c | 3,215$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.39 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 69c | 3,110$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.99 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 70c | 2,999$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.36 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3d…17a7backed No | 30c | 2,985$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 25c | 2,903$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.76 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked No | 49c | 2,880$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.81 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 27c | 2,652$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.55 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 22c | 2,628$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.22 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 31c | 2,470$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.55 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 74c | 2,400$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…d348backed Yes | 66c | 2,272$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.48 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed Yes | 75c | 2,247$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.75 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +7.5wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66d8…4164backed Yes | 73c | 2,129$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 18c | 2,023$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.55 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,981$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.15 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…1652backed Yes | 71c | 1,845$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.07 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,667$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.39 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 28c | 1,663$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.46 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,649$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…a98cbacked No | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 53c | 1,590$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.78 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 33c | 1,503$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked Yes | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711b…bcecbacked Yes | 70c | 1,361$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…7fbcbacked Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 34c | 1,297$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.11 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 26c | 1,225$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.82 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…7fe9backed No | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes | 75c | 1,067$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…1363backed Yes | 72c | 1,057$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.91 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…f351backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Yes | 70c | 971.49$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.14 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 28c | 961$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.03 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…de87backed No | 27c | 937.46$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.69 | 123 | 20.3%25 W · 98 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 28c | 917.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.52 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 28c | 872$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 73c | 820.63$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.57 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…e659backed Yes | 73c | 817.86$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.86 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…4e63backed No | 34c | 815.31$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes | 72c | 815$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.2 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b890backed Yes | 72c | 801.51$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.51 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 27c | 800.22$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.06 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked No | 28c | 794.15$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.04 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…9cf4backed Yes | 73c | 749.74$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes | 73c | 748.25$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 158 | 36.7%58 W · 100 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…dc31backed Yes | 72c | 719.21$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.01 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…f34bbacked Yes | 71c | 702.44$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 68c | 670.48$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.65 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 30c | 669.05$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 667$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b85…2e56backed Yes | 75c | 666.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 25c | 656.79$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.86 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 70c | 644.9$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.47 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 69c | 625.09$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 30c | 623.89$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 70c | 599.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Yes | 74c | 563.11$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…95f5backed No | 27c | 561.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed No | 40c | 552$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.69 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 24c | 541.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 69c | 538$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 30c | 530.39$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…5981backed Yes | 75c | 509.25$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 27c | 505.72$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 21c | 505.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed No | 30c | 503.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 15.4%12 W · 66 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 74c | 501.52$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…15adbacked Yes | 62c | 497.69$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 24c | 492.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 50c | 469.97$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.31 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed Yes | 48c | 442.49$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.19 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…7e4cbacked No | 31c | 438.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cb…5645backed Yes | 73c | 424.1$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…36bbbacked Yes | 73c | 412.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…212cbacked Yes | 74c | 408.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 251 | 60.6%152 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed No | 30c | 385$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 303 | 44.2%134 W · 169 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed No | 11c | 384.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…ec97backed Yes | 65c | 383.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.06 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curacao reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Panama reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Tunisia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.