Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf55f5eaaebfadd1d6c964bad68ad74cf4ea15770f71b2c4f7934d143a757f111

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $280,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $316,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,276 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x58e4…36f9backed Yes	71c	18,925$13,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,529.08	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	76c	10,794$8,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,618.51	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	25c	9,229$2,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,305.33	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xabb4…d3c5backed Yes	77c	8,080$6,243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,837.41	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3d…f757backed Yes	76c	7,651$5,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,857.32	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	45c	7,545$3,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,120.74	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	67c	6,613$4,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,179.58	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed No	27c	5,170$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,395.9	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes	73c	4,795$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,294.52	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x279b…b50cbacked Yes	71c	3,803$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,102.82	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed No	64c	3,801$2,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,437.48	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	26c	3,773$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.41	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b5…74c0backed Yes	71c	3,547$2,527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.96	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	29c	3,349$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.59	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed No	46c	3,207$1,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,468.84	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	26c	3,143$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828.75	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked No	39c	2,915$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.96	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked No	31c	2,774$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$859.84	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	28c	2,632$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.92	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	72c	2,582$1,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.37	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	24c	2,570$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.02	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	28c	2,455$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.71	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb8…9cf4backed Yes	79c	2,386$1,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.65	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+6.2wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	76c	2,351$1,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.24	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11e1…5621backed No	50c	2,288$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.92	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	66c	2,276$1,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773.25	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	71c	2,232$1,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.28	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	27c	2,200$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,605.99	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	25c	2,150$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.08	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66d8…4164backed Yes	72c	2,084$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.52	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x134c…b6d0backed Yes	71c	2,051$1,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.1	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	28c	2,011$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.91	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes	71c	2,000$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed No	23c	1,764$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.39	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	28c	1,758$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.59	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No	30c	1,729$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.21	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed No	29c	1,666$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.41	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	34c	1,570$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.54	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes	69c	1,454$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.78	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No	27c	1,440$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.57	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No	28c	1,400$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae9…b1efbacked Yes	73c	1,370$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.93	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+617.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x746e…3e68backed Yes	73c	1,311$957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.96	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes	76c	1,309$998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.49	186	14.5%27 W · 159 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c01…797dbacked No	31c	1,308$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.56	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	22cpaid	-88%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked No	30c	1,270$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	33cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	21c	1,251$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.32	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	35c	1,224$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.33	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ac0…6112backed Yes	71c	1,206$857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.86	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No	29c	1,199$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.81	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No	29c	1,139$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.17	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	23c	1,093$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.51	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes	74c	1,085$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.09	165	52.1%86 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed Yes	69c	1,071$744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.45	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No	29c	1,040$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.79	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	28c	1,028$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.76	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No	29c	1,023$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.74	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed No	29c	1,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	28c	999.94$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.98	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2080…36d2backed Yes	72c	990.03$709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.03	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	31c	961.61$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.5	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50f9…a4c5backed Yes	73c	958.9$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.9	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Yes	68c	935.4$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.09	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed No	11c	814.03$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No	29c	800$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No	29c	800$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	27c	769.56$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.53	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Yes	74c	742.94$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.94	102	60.8%62 W · 40 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	54c	733.58$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.45	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7e…7e1ebacked No	34c	728.57$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	41cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…ee7abacked No	26c	718.91$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.61	81	24.7%20 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb82…ef9bbacked Yes	70c	714.29$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.29	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Yes	71c	704.23$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.23	97	60.8%59 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9690…8bfabacked Yes	71c	700.22$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.22	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x263c…87a0backed Yes	72c	693.15$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.15	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	62cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	29c	645.89$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.71	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…6a76backed Yes	70c	640.24$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.07	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No	29c	640$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.6	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	23c	629.5$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	77c	603.17$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.17	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No	29c	599.99$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a5…0e36backed Yes	72c	595.17$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.99	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-4.8wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e3f…32a4backed No	26c	579.7$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.56	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e8…ebb7backed No	28c	575.91$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.24	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	30c	564$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.79	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2a…46babacked Yes	71c	563.38$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.38	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	43c	555.94$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.33	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed No	27c	552.77$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.71	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	74c	544.96$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.95	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes	69c	505.49$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.49	251	60.6%152 W · 99 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf39…3101backed Yes	77c	499.98$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed No	30c	499.98$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No	29c	480$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.2	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5f…dc31backed Yes	73c	467.12$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.12	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	14c	453.12$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.44	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed Yes	70c	441.6$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.65	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked Yes	69c	435.26$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.26	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.4wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Yes	76c	434.94$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.71	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	35c	428.59$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.24	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5175…1546backed Yes	73c	400$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event