Fifa International · resolved market
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8970e536e7ffd3982f2146e2596a1495f97eeafb08d9ea78860ee036e8be1159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc08…a137backed No | 33c | 17,396$5,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,751.74 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 72c | 16,234$11,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,584.74 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…7d2fbacked Yes | 38c | 4,376$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.14 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 51c | 3,501$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.95 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 44c | 3,125$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.24 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 29c | 3,080$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.69 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 46c | 2,999$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.71 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked No | 65c | 2,871$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.89 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 54c | 2,662$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.57 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 66c | 2,471$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.78 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 60c | 2,443$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.96 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 62c | 2,256$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.93 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 27c | 2,216$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.02 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…3d88backed Yes | 61c | 2,215$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.53 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 2,206$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 32c | 2,147$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.69 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 37c | 2,146$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.44 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.63 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…d348backed Yes | 42c | 1,960$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.02 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…9815backed No | 42c | 1,741$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.59 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 65c | 1,694$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.74 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,590$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.43 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,529$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.35 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 68c | 1,500$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.18 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 55c | 1,463$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.24 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…5981backed Yes | 59c | 1,312$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.02 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…e4cebacked Yes | 49c | 1,266$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Yes | 71c | 1,224$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.14 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked No | 42c | 1,205$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.91 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.66 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…198cbacked Yes | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 48c | 999.08$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.26 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 56c | 969.05$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.38 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…36d2backed Yes | 59c | 949.91$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.91 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes | 54c | 937.68$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.88 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 62c | 932.26$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 42c | 930.12$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.66 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 56c | 907.52$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.74 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 63c | 877.78$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b85…2e56backed Yes | 60c | 834$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 59c | 792$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.28 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…5d1bbacked Yes | 44c | 779.21$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 70c | 766.3$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.26 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 40c | 725.96$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.45 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 40c | 706.43$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.34 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…450fbacked Yes | 43c | 700.54$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.47 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 29c | 669.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.17 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…0471backed Yes | 60c | 661.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…dde1backed Yes | 40c | 622.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.4 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 18c | 613.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 542.25$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.71 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed No | 45c | 481.67$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 42c | 452.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.2 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 58c | 437.5$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.63 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 43c | 432.29$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.42 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 56c | 390$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…15adbacked Yes | 75c | 385.96$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 65c | 373$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 54c | 366.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 55c | 361.05$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.36 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8603…fb04backed Yes | 56c | 355.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…40cabacked Yes | 59c | 347.46$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 80c | 330.79$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 58c | 330.65$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.64 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes | 32c | 313.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 39c | 299.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 36c | 280$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…3e68backed Yes | 62c | 255.92$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Yes | 43c | 237.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 39c | 231.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…4e63backed No | 37c | 224.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 59c | 223.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 25c | 222$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked No | 47c | 212.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed No | 57c | 210$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf505…4c26backed No | 49c | 209.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 52c | 205.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 59c | 200.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…42a9backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e4c9backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 123 | 65.9%81 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Yes | 37c | 198$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.52 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed No | 62c | 187.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 57c | 184.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…67babacked Yes | 57c | 172.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed No | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 48c | 171.41$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…8a56backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…1cbebacked Yes | 59c | 166.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…ded7backed Yes | 60c | 161.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed No | 43c | 158.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -10.9wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 56c | 149.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 16c | 148$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…14c8backed No | 57c | 148$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 147.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…79e1backed Yes | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 64c | 126.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curacao reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Panama reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Tunisia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.