Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b00a4dcd0eefeea298ee514c88ebeef38e48ddb27bb3278bfdddaa3ed9c8ea4

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $100,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,262 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	9c	7,609$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.79	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Yes	11c	5,073$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf9…33ebbacked Yes	12c	3,186$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.73	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	8c	2,825$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.68	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes	8c	2,567$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.24	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	10c	2,119$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.95	100	12%12 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8603…fb04backed Yes	10c	2,093$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,741$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.22	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x619d…ef71backed Yes	7c	1,427$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.5	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-60%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3b…b190backed Yes	7c	1,395$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.23	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5445…0db7backed Yes	12c	1,328$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.98	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-89%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes	7c	1,269$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.57	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes	7c	1,200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76cf…b497backed Yes	9c	1,127$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	6c	1,050$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.59	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	2c	966.42$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb05d…dcdcbacked Yes	10c	927.18$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.43	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed Yes	9c	885.59$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.31	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-31%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	10c	867.92$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.65	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	3c	835.64$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.41	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	74c	799.78$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.74	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4805…6c7bbacked Yes	6c	792.74$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.6	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a8…3d62backed Yes	8c	771.19$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.78	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cc…bcabbacked Yes	14c	675.89$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad7…372bbacked Yes	15c	675.88$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd33…eee4backed Yes	8c	599.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd47…aa89backed Yes	9c	562.76$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	7c	511.04$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.24	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes	7c	499.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee87…e8c4backed Yes	13c	498$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.23	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72a6…6d18backed Yes	14c	476.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.57	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Yes	11c	476.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	180	43.9%79 W · 101 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x083d…4d61backed Yes	7c	436.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73da…4ef2backed Yes	8c	413.09$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.36	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	5c	396.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	405	15.3%62 W · 343 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52af…331ebacked Yes	5c	378.93$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.44	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	6c	372.9$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	8c	368.06$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea2…de87backed Yes	9c	365$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.75	123	20.3%25 W · 98 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x491b…8227backed Yes	14c	358.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d39…c505backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Yes	7c	328.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.97	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c0…94abbacked Yes	9c	313.24$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.46	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.19per pick	40cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3ad…467dbacked Yes	32c	309.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf15…fccabacked Yes	33c	301.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	110	38.2%42 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50f9…a4c5backed Yes	7c	300$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.87	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da0…28c0backed Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6587…6e84backed Yes	35c	279.7$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.48	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes	7c	272.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes	7c	246.52$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.35	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f5…55b9backed Yes	8c	236.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf70c…4e63backed Yes	9c	231.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Yes	14c	230.57$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.28	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd65…b3dfbacked Yes	7c	227.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2f…5468backed Yes	11c	224.11$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	157	8.9%14 W · 143 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	7c	210.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.65	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	6c	203.95$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.04	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3096…58a3backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	7c	194.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.37	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf98e…573abacked Yes	8c	152.93$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+89.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdd…d3f2backed Yes	9c	149.16$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	13c	144.42$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60f…f17cbacked Yes	9c	140$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fba…bd5abacked Yes	14c	138.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	37%20 W · 34 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe32…0c62backed Yes	15c	132.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd186…c3adbacked Yes	8c	132.64$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e8…253cbacked Yes	16c	130.77$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.49	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	13c	124$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe75…27dabacked Yes	9c	121.95$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4043…2bc7backed Yes	14c	110.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb065…a104backed Yes	17c	110.56$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.99	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	10c	110.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Yes	15c	105.72$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No	73c	102.74$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.84	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2f…e27ebacked Yes	10c	101.01$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafce…db52backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	125	38.4%48 W · 77 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec55…a300backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c36…26bfbacked Yes	18c	96.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.77	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	12c	95.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d9…22d8backed Yes	12c	80.72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3f…d75bbacked Yes	33c	76.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.49	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2b…51c2backed Yes	17c	65$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.79	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Yes	32c	62.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa140…345ebacked Yes	33c	38.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+125.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No	74c	17.04$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event