Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca13d618a6683e0d3bf8f5d59bf90b522b033a8bd1dccbbff056f34ea6db06e0

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $231,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $277,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,413 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x51fd…4272backed No	12c	13,979$1,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,637.71	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	14c	10,685$1,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,478.48	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	21c	10,663$2,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200.61	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	12c	9,488$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.04	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Yes	79c	7,812$6,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,614.21	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No	20c	6,779$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,340.04	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	15c	5,307$783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$783.2	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	11c	4,820$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.93	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No	12c	3,931$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.82	293	33.8%99 W · 194 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed No	20c	3,035$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.97	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	10c	3,001$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.1	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46eb…ba8cbacked Yes	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	11c	2,811$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.36	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed No	20c	2,775$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.06	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-4.7wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	18c	2,759$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	20c	2,511$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.34	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No	17c	2,365$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.39	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	17c	2,250$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	12c	2,213$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.85	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	19c	2,088$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.46	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	12c	2,058$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.52	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x825a…f465backed No	22c	2,009$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes	70c	2,000$1,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ad8…41b6backed No	16c	2,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.99	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	79c	1,956$1,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.97	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	13c	1,926$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.24	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	19c	1,815$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.55	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	20c	1,675$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.93	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	13c	1,431$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.61	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	17c	1,366$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.82	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No	19c	1,306$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.12	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	22c	1,241$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.74	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	5c	1,199$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.97	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c01…797dbacked No	14c	1,075$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.49	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	22cpaid	-88%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes	79c	1,007$796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.54	186	14.5%27 W · 159 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4615…5ccbbacked Yes	78c	1,001$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.65	51	72.5%37 W · 14 L	+7.6wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcba6…e258backed Yes	71c	1,000$712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.77	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf39…3101backed Yes	80c	999.79$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.96	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	20c	947.6$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.84	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	17c	886.72$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.85	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd33…eee4backed No	13c	859.21$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked Yes	78c	849.15$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.81	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	19c	845.95$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.22	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefd…272fbacked Yes	79c	759.49$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.49	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes	65c	688.15$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.5	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0304…020abacked Yes	80c	676.73$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.93	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	80c	647.99$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.6	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddf3…b7b5backed Yes	79c	633.38$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.01	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5496…0a90backed No	20c	550$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c7c…d095backed Yes	75c	500$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e6…7d82backed No	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db7…e7c4backed No	20c	486.05$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	12c	482.57$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.01	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked No	11c	451.26$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.64	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbe3…e366backed Yes	78c	424.15$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.99	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…ee7abacked No	17c	415.55$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.4	81	24.7%20 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	75c	409.32$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.05	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Yes	79c	400$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed No	15c	399.64$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.95	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b0f…bdf9backed Yes	79c	379.81$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.81	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	79c	314.4$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.5	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Yes	78c	300$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes	57c	300$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked No	18c	299.98$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	16c	297.6$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.62	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked No	19c	291.98$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.48	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ecb…26a9backed Yes	78c	289$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.58	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked No	14c	281$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.34	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed No	20c	270.7$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.14	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	19c	269.94$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c7b…d463backed No	14c	261.1$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	20c	254.26$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.94	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed No	22c	249.66$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.08	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc898…b0f8backed Yes	74c	235.72$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+162.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed No	20c	235.62$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.46	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd33c…a724backed Yes	79c	230$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.3	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a39…14c8backed No	19c	225.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.94	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed No	20c	225$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.25	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed No	24c	211.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2406…2dd1backed Yes	80c	211$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623b…b1f8backed Yes	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	107	57%61 W · 46 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed Yes	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	313	58.1%182 W · 131 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16f…9f16backed Yes	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed No	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed Yes	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes	79c	199.98$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No	25c	199.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f8…c7dcbacked Yes	78c	192.72$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+55%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf70c…4e63backed No	11c	186.36$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f8…d348backed Yes	80c	184.8$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.96	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb8…c0e9backed No	22c	181.95$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.88	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b5…74c0backed Yes	71c	178.13$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.4	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	80c	167.41$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.25	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes	80c	160$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.8	153	45.8%70 W · 83 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed No	20c	154$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	236	40.3%95 W · 141 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7175…ae4ebacked Yes	79c	150$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	165	49.1%81 W · 84 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No	12c	150$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7532…c6fcbacked No	14c	149.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	21c	141.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.01	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event