TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes63c21,857$13,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,019.32365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid0%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked No21c13,424$2,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.6714920.8%31 W · 118 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No31c12,172$3,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.784,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes77c8,143$6,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.6212352.8%65 W · 58 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No12c6,904$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.2832629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes79c6,708$5,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.747941.8%33 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes79c5,255$4,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.6313748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No34c4,801$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.9758926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No37c4,622$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.0943835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…ce0cbacked Yes80c3,860$3,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7721241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed No19c3,153$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.654040%16 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes74c2,999$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.9726940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No48c2,430$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.958844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7407643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed Yes79c1,925$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.524652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c1d…4162backed Yes52c1,845$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked No21c1,800$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.012236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x597b…7adebacked Yes64c1,797$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes75c1,651$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.1614232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No46c1,421$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.9347235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No21c1,300$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27342640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Yes80c1,218$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.64153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes57c1,134$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.411637.1%43 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No25c1,096$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4118545.9%85 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes73c1,049$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.322,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes80c1,004$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46038351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76b…c054backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4805…6c7bbacked No36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+68.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7164…827fbacked Yes53c999.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No19c990.63$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.82,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe15…1794backed Yes80c937.5$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.52552%13 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No47c923.31$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.8643635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No43c817.79$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.654050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+62.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No44c807.16$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.2234151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed No20c782.49$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.182763%17 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No18c777.55$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.613,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes79c746.31$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No46c699.99$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32240649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes56c675.15$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.175543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes53c657.01$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.234027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes59c649.99$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.118460.9%112 W · 72 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No44c639.75$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.491,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No48c590.91$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9135033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c81…8583backed Yes52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.921346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No35c576.06$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.592,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No45c550.61$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.834738.3%18 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No7c530$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No47c504.98$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.146366.7%42 W · 21 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No19c501.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.352,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes60c500.36$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3616552.1%86 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.972646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Yes53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23510359.2%61 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Yes74c473.13$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.131361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Yes68c464$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.664045%18 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3f…32a4backed No40c432.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.192245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No48c407.65$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.728547.7%136 W · 149 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2080…36d2backed Yes75c406.26$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.482755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1924862.5%30 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e0…43b9backed Yes78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.627460.8%45 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x046a…0701backed Yes80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+59%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Yes50c364$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1822867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked No20c352$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.417340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No23c321.91$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.049555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Yes80c312$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.410270.6%72 W · 30 L+0.5wins0.00per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b94…805fbacked Yes50c306.66$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f8…d348backed Yes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.411580%12 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes78c298.17$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.631,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes71c295.31$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6411256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes78c294.87$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8725160.6%152 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No35c281.22$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.411058.2%64 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No40c280.61$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3412744.9%57 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6acb…06bdbacked No48c268.11$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.691442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No31c261.89$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9492038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.556151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes56c250$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.245121.6%11 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-57.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a39…14c8backed No40c229$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.63447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No42c218$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1120652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed Yes79c213$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9218636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8371…5f47backed Yes59c212.21$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.217650%38 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked Yes50c201.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.078140.7%33 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9224043.3%104 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9822834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a33…4575backed Yes53c189.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.623663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No26c188.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6918139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab5…f570backed No20c184.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.524916.3%8 W · 41 L-10.9wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-74%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x6004…d473backed Yes59c182.21$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa1…2242backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.828046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked No50c174$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8711752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae0…ddc7backed No21c174$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0287…97b5backed No29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No38c167$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4616741.9%70 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5219…9781backed Yes61c165.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.223330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked No48c160$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed No40c153$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.223640.3%95 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes50c150.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.521837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce3…f779backed Yes52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x528d…98c4backed Yes80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.