Fifa International · resolved market
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8904439c2d55bf507317bf35e9b5e34890cc17716355a45a40647916cb237fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 63c | 21,857$13,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,019.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 21c | 13,424$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.67 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 31c | 12,172$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.78 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 77c | 8,143$6,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.62 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 12c | 6,904$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.28 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 79c | 6,708$5,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.74 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 79c | 5,255$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.63 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 34c | 4,801$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.97 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 37c | 4,622$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.09 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…ce0cbacked Yes | 80c | 3,860$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…9815backed No | 19c | 3,153$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.65 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 74c | 2,999$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.97 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 48c | 2,430$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.95 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…7fe9backed Yes | 79c | 1,925$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.52 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…4162backed Yes | 52c | 1,845$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked No | 21c | 1,800$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.01 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597b…7adebacked Yes | 64c | 1,797$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 75c | 1,651$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.16 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 46c | 1,421$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.93 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 21c | 1,300$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Yes | 80c | 1,218$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 57c | 1,134$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 25c | 1,096$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.41 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 73c | 1,049$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.32 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 80c | 1,004$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…c054backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…6c7bbacked No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…827fbacked Yes | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 19c | 990.63$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.8 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…1794backed Yes | 80c | 937.5$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 47c | 923.31$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.86 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 43c | 817.79$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.65 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 44c | 807.16$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.22 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed No | 20c | 782.49$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.18 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 18c | 777.55$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.61 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 79c | 746.31$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 46c | 699.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Yes | 56c | 675.15$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.17 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 53c | 657.01$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.23 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 59c | 649.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.1 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 44c | 639.75$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.49 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 48c | 590.91$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.91 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…8583backed Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 576.06$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 45c | 550.61$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.83 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 7c | 530$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 47c | 504.98$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.14 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 19c | 501.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes | 60c | 500.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.36 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Yes | 74c | 473.13$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 68c | 464$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 40c | 432.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 48c | 407.65$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…36d2backed Yes | 75c | 406.26$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…43b9backed Yes | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…0701backed Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +59%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Yes | 50c | 364$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked No | 20c | 352$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 23c | 321.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Yes | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…805fbacked Yes | 50c | 306.66$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…d348backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 78c | 298.17$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 71c | 295.31$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 78c | 294.87$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 251 | 60.6%152 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed No | 35c | 281.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…450fbacked No | 40c | 280.61$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…06bdbacked No | 48c | 268.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 31c | 261.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes | 56c | 250$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…14c8backed No | 40c | 229$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 42c | 218$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 79c | 213$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…5f47backed Yes | 59c | 212.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 50c | 201.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 240 | 43.3%104 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a33…4575backed Yes | 53c | 189.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 26c | 188.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed No | 20c | 184.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -10.9wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6004…d473backed Yes | 59c | 182.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked No | 50c | 174$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…ddc7backed No | 21c | 174$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…97b5backed No | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 38c | 167$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…9781backed Yes | 61c | 165.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked No | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 40c | 153$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 150.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528d…98c4backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curacao reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Panama reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Tunisia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.