Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b3237da39d6c7b1f7adef29c5f675e4214cec25f585ca151c7b8cc9271871e1

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $170,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $181,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,189 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x53ec…df91backed No	35c	14,081$4,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,952.48	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes	68c	10,000$6,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,180	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	11c	9,023$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.66	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52a8…c5edbacked Yes	61c	8,780$5,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,415.59	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed No	38c	8,208$3,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,119.17	142	32.4%46 W · 96 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes	54c	7,800$4,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,560.49	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb4…d3c5backed Yes	68c	7,743$5,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,513.36	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	54c	7,500$4,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,454.98	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes	64c	7,251$4,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,587.06	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	62c	6,360$3,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,403.03	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	40c	5,181$2,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,058.92	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked No	39c	5,047$1,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,968.15	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes	66c	4,997$3,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,682.07	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x410c…7d2fbacked Yes	65c	4,633$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,633.48	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	34c	4,457$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510.07	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	69c	4,136$2,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274.48	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	41c	3,232$1,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,341.32	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No	46c	3,200$1,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	36c	3,176$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.26	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	67c	3,054$2,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,021.61	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	74c	3,019$2,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798.8	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No	31c	3,000$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	46c	2,736$1,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.05	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	36c	2,691$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.73	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd380…0700backed Yes	62c	2,499$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$949.79	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	38c	2,255$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.6	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x769c…3d88backed No	26c	2,246$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.56	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	63c	2,040$1,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.89	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…28d6backed Yes	65c	2,008$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.77	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4805…6c7bbacked No	31c	2,000$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	36c	1,721$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.26	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No	46c	1,703$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.23	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc0…d6b3backed Yes	64c	1,565$1,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.5	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	64c	1,553$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.95	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	36c	1,547$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.17	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…ce0cbacked Yes	64c	1,499$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.72	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8603…fb04backed Yes	64c	1,497$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.59	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	37c	1,461$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.68	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	38c	1,404$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.38	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No	46c	1,400$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed No	38c	1,400$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.87	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	62c	1,389$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.09	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	37c	1,373$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.49	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	36c	1,352$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.61	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	31c	1,286$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.74	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes	64c	1,250$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	176	64.8%114 W · 62 L	+11.5wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	11c	1,200$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No	46c	1,200$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.99	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed Yes	62c	1,094$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.55	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes	58c	1,088$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.84	165	52.1%86 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes	62c	1,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	71	56.3%40 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdde…c019backed Yes	62c	1,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x746e…3e68backed Yes	64c	998.44$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.44	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes	63c	996.82$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.82	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f8…d348backed Yes	69c	932$641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.38	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	65c	924.71$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.71	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No	35c	887.98$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.79	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2080…36d2backed Yes	64c	852.17$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.16	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No	30c	842.98$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.36	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	33c	840.71$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.97	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	40c	813.99$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.04	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No	46c	800$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No	46c	800$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b85…2e56backed Yes	63c	794$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.78	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…c811backed Yes	63c	793.65$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.65	73	35.6%26 W · 47 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	59c	784.91$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.77	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked No	37c	783$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.71	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d2…7fbcbacked Yes	64c	781.25$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.25	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+3.0wins	+0.27per pick	64cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	35c	770.93$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52a…864ebacked Yes	62c	744.77$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.01	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	62c	740.47$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.82	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832b…5c91backed Yes	62c	700$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c05…71cdbacked Yes	64c	690.95$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.61	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	45c	661.95$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.88	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes	63c	650$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	28c	649.63$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.53	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No	46c	646.47$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.98	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5184…1363backed Yes	62c	645.16$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.16	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	63c	644.79$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.23	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No	46c	640$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.4	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes	77c	631.79$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.69	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	37c	625.33$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.53	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No	46c	600$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes	61c	583.21$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.45	169	46.2%78 W · 91 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed No	31c	580.84$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.06	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-59%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked No	38c	576.94$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	256	46.5%119 W · 137 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf7…c089backed Yes	65c	569.23$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.23	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes	64c	562.7$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.07	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Yes	67c	555.29$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.68	350	41.1%144 W · 206 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b96…f02ebacked Yes	61c	540.31$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.19	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…5621backed Yes	76c	531$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.67	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No	46c	520$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.2	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	63c	511.46$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.9	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b60…85e0backed Yes	54c	509.26$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.26	83	41%34 W · 49 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed No	9c	496$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.41	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x690f…75d2backed Yes	62c	483.87$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.87	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No	46c	480$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.8	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed Yes	51c	465.5$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.24	544	50.6%275 W · 269 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	23c	463.36$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.64	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event