Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe72a18c7ef8d80a61493711ede048fcd67b30941206ac6ef71c4e538cd80c26e

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $113,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $120,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,876 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfc08…a137backed Yes	67c	10,011$6,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,682.71	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	47c	7,724$3,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,057.62	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	72c	7,697$5,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,186.84	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	34c	7,288$2,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,839.17	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Yes	29c	4,928$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410.44	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes	48c	3,078$1,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484.31	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	31c	2,428$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.78	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes	37c	2,089$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.55	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	63c	2,013$1,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.26	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes	30c	2,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	80c	1,989$1,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.23	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	42c	1,915$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.41	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e1…5621backed Yes	46c	1,846$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.34	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	65c	1,782$1,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.89	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	64c	1,653$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.45	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5d…6fcabacked Yes	30c	1,417$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.06	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	69c	1,404$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.5	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes	36c	1,400$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe877…8decbacked Yes	41c	899$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.58	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No	59c	848$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.68	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	64c	811.25$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.55	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes	34c	809.75$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.83	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	4c	800$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x769c…3d88backed Yes	31c	789$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.84	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68d2…d067backed Yes	53c	765.65$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	31c	748.56$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.61	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	67c	706.48$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.63	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	64c	706.25$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.26	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	51c	676.13$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.57	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf143…08adbacked Yes	44c	652.82$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.24	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	68c	600$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	36c	565$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.41	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbed…d0e7backed Yes	30c	555.78$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.7	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	69c	555.39$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.44	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	45c	522.83$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.84	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed No	69c	500.01$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked No	71c	491.97$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.51	102	70.6%72 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	38c	480.28$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.54	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	31c	474.04$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.83	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	70c	461.61$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.02	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	68c	451.02$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.59	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	28c	445.01$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.15	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed No	64c	399.99$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.92	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	35c	380.21$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.4	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	32c	375.22$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.49	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed No	53c	370.17$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.98	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	60c	368$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.2	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	69c	358.33$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.2	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	45c	331.18$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.5	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046a…0701backed Yes	31c	322.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+59%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe15…2449backed Yes	31c	315.9$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No	63c	271$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.92	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	67c	257.18$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.08	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	60c	257$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.57	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	57c	252.54$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.47	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3b95backed Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101d…cad2backed Yes	41c	245.8$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.88	112	24.1%27 W · 85 L	-10.3wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-28%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked Yes	29c	239.56$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.46	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea0…2563backed Yes	40c	237.5$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7039…4a7dbacked No	70c	235.54$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.66	31	83.9%26 W · 5 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	67cpaid	+26%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ab3…f88ebacked Yes	36c	223.89$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…974ebacked Yes	33c	212.12$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	71c	211.93$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.88	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No	65c	210.05$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.52	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	46c	193.13$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.35	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d23…9517backed Yes	27c	192.64$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.14	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No	45c	190.16$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.11	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf70c…4e63backed No	68c	187.31$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.58	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36cb…4eb1backed Yes	32c	185$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.85	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Yes	41c	174.94$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-4.1wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd74c…e70bbacked No	60c	174$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.6	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	63c	173.47$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.74	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfab4…4c19backed Yes	35c	172.17$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No	49c	172$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.72	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	44c	160.36$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.79	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	57c	154.9$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.63	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	64c	154.37$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.1	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92fa…4461backed Yes	43c	151.86$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.3	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce3…f779backed Yes	40c	150$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked No	61c	150$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.5	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Yes	29c	149.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	70c	133.74$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.39	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed Yes	32c	130.96$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.27	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90f…ea7abacked Yes	40c	125.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	190	40%76 W · 114 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedbc…0a03backed Yes	44c	117$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.48	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36b…f273backed No	60c	113$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.2	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4af…a344backed Yes	45c	110.66$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea1d…aa25backed Yes	27c	110$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.41	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed No	58c	107.19$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.65	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	58c	102.95$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.24	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	142	43%61 W · 81 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5838…6a3abacked No	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe781…8363backed Yes	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed No	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed No	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	184	43.5%80 W · 104 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67cf…2371backed Yes	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7545…04fcbacked Yes	40c	98.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.59	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event