Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4dbc1d678b5d605f2dfd07a429d7a7f8f6a16ed48c71a6512ceb8e7cb809cfd

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $75,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,764 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x33a7…e607backed Yes	20c	10,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	66c	6,292$4,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,109.97	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	31c	4,439$1,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,362.2	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	35c	4,337$1,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.25	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	63c	3,279$2,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.34	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffe…be6fbacked Yes	37c	2,984$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes	35c	2,900$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.05	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes	37c	2,703$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	44c	2,572$1,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.5	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	62c	2,252$1,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.97	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb05…d19fbacked No	61c	2,056$1,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.38	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	58cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No	62c	1,948$1,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.14	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	33c	1,917$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.5	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No	70c	1,822$1,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.61	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	56c	1,792$1,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780.54	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	61c	1,686$1,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.62	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f9…a4c5backed Yes	38c	1,324$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	11c	1,199$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.51	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	51c	1,165$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.64	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	54c	1,141$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.96	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes	37c	1,081$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	176	64.8%114 W · 62 L	+11.5wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes	40c	1,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed Yes	37c	927.51$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.13	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No	61c	906.17$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.41	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	57c	903.02$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.63	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	38c	784$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.92	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	38c	741.92$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.47	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	23c	708.93$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.89	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	40c	700.09$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.43	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…df5cbacked No	61c	699.98$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.99	71	56.3%40 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	45c	669.78$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked No	63c	646.96$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.14	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	57c	628.99$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.46	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9874…2e27backed Yes	44c	609.18$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes	36c	580.6$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.02	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes	37c	470$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.9	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Yes	43c	469.99$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.1	64	29.7%19 W · 45 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed No	63c	465.41$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.2	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-59%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes	43c	465.12$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	79	38%30 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	40c	449.42$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No	58c	447.12$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.73	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-7.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Yes	42c	425.04$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	105	27.6%29 W · 76 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes	37c	405.41$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	139	51.8%72 W · 67 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Yes	37c	405.41$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	261	33.3%87 W · 174 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes	42c	400$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes	35c	390.04$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.48	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	58c	379.03$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.76	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	31c	377.26$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.63	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7ed…18f6backed Yes	34c	351.37$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.44	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed No	67c	350$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.5	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Yes	25c	335.66$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.21	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	43c	333.13$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.3	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	38c	330.61$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.87	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	12c	323.93$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.08	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	7c	302.8$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ed…643ebacked Yes	44c	279.07$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	37c	264.08$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.47	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6acb…06bdbacked No	60c	259.47$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.9	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…893abacked Yes	38c	258.37$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1f…2315backed Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.35per pick	36cpaid	+152.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	36c	250$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No	68c	244.77$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.13	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c05…71cdbacked Yes	37c	240.59$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.44	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked No	65c	235$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.25	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes	43c	232.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	30c	220.88$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.42	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Yes	34c	220$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.6	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x301c…28b0backed Yes	8c	220$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	57c	220$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.6	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	62c	214$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.35	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x426d…b976backed Yes	39c	205.13$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47f7…0312backed Yes	40c	200$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes	36c	200$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	75	40%30 W · 45 L	+6.6wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	63c	200$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Yes	39c	192.69$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.9	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	36c	188.57$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.66	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…7635backed Yes	38c	184.16$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.58	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	64c	183.33$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed Yes	36c	180$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa73f…b27dbacked Yes	39c	168.25$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.62	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+62.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed Yes	10c	164.11$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.41	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Yes	48c	157.15$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	197	42.1%83 W · 114 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked No	58c	157$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.94	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1eec…5ca3backed No	65c	150$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	89	66.3%59 W · 30 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7175…ae4ebacked Yes	38c	150$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	165	49.1%81 W · 84 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Yes	37c	150$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x826a…b27cbacked Yes	37c	148.29$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No	60c	146.4$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.95	63	66.7%42 W · 21 L	+7.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	39c	146.3$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.75	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	31c	143.95$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.62	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7039…4a7dbacked No	64c	132.17$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.58	31	83.9%26 W · 5 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	67cpaid	+26%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40f5…55b9backed Yes	39c	128.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd454…62dbbacked Yes	36c	128.21$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.16	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6004…d473backed Yes	38c	127.4$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.41	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd19…6910backed Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes	30c	118.82$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.05	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+21.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked No	56c	117.99$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.91	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2937…ad07backed Yes	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c1…57d1backed Yes	43c	116.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event