Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd91c8922df34cd85cc3e022df1bca95e8dd6cf95856a89981a13ca844844e07

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $128,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $141,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,621 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdf70…5e92backed Yes	69c	10,659$7,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,326.8	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No	32c	10,285$3,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,252.96	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes	65c	10,000$6,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,541	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes	66c	7,465$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,565.22	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	34c	6,535$2,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,254.38	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No	34c	5,017$1,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,705.81	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	36c	5,001$1,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,787.97	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	37c	4,110$1,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,513.59	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	63c	3,910$2,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,427.55	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	35c	3,877$1,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,353.67	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	36c	3,500$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,274.96	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	66c	2,999$1,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,005.61	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes	78c	2,942$2,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.61	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	35c	2,812$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.13	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…d067backed Yes	66c	2,387$1,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.55	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	41c	2,285$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.83	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	31c	2,000$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d2…7fbcbacked Yes	65c	1,977$1,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$691.92	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+3.0wins	+0.27per pick	64cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes	57c	1,960$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.61	167	46.7%78 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	37c	1,814$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.78	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	60c	1,798$1,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$715.5	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed No	14c	1,713$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.78	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes	65c	1,600$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8603…fb04backed Yes	66c	1,524$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.58	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes	64c	1,513$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.75	165	52.1%86 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed Yes	68c	1,454$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.83	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	39c	1,159$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	44c	1,155$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.03	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed Yes	65c	1,094$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.85	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b67…4fd6backed Yes	65c	1,072$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.03	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	21c	1,037$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes	58c	1,025$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.63	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked No	42c	1,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked No	44c	999.92$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.97	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50f9…a4c5backed Yes	65c	938.46$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.46	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No	31c	928.89$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.96	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	37c	918.99$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.9	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ac…76debacked No	33c	914.83$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.89	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes	66c	888.95$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.79	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	41c	884.79$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.72	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	43c	862.5$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.34	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a8…b339backed Yes	62c	810.05$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	10c	799.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa02d…5f3bbacked Yes	54c	799.99$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.99	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2937…ad07backed Yes	63c	793.16$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.16	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	32c	786.32$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.77	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x289f…d014backed Yes	65c	784.62$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.62	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3f8…81bdbacked Yes	65c	768.99$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.15	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	14c	760.04$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.04	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes	66c	760$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.4	111	65.8%73 W · 38 L	+15.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2fff…28bebacked Yes	66c	757.58$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.58	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f54…ac8dbacked Yes	66c	757.01$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.01	121	33.1%40 W · 81 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	34c	734.54$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.92	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c81…8583backed Yes	55c	727.27$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.27	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	46c	643.34$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.96	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked No	32c	636.25$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.6	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	35c	628.74$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.5	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Yes	64c	600$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes	55c	599.99$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.99	198	50.5%100 W · 98 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	35c	572.99$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.8	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No	45c	571.09$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.99	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Yes	60c	555$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.02	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	32c	555$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.6	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	64c	547$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.21	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked No	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed No	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e3f…32a4backed No	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddde…2e88backed Yes	54c	499.96$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.98	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	32c	499.96$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.99	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	41c	497.48$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.42	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	42c	477.34$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.92	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	44c	473.99$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.56	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes	65c	458.19$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.19	111	62.2%69 W · 42 L	+16.7wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+27%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x44e9…ec97backed Yes	66c	454.55$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.55	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcae4…cc88backed Yes	67c	447.76$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.76	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No	43c	441.8$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.23	544	50.6%275 W · 269 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa894…2830backed Yes	78c	415.78$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.78	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	37c	410.21$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d18…b702backed Yes	62c	400.79$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.79	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes	65c	400$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	251	60.6%152 W · 99 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed No	32c	399.99$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	114	53.5%61 W · 53 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes	62c	399.99$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151	93	51.6%48 W · 45 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	40c	392.07$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.23	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes	65c	384.62$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.62	321	45.5%146 W · 175 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed No	35c	382.26$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.88	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	40c	379.35$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.86	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes	54c	369.27$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.27	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Yes	64c	357.92$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.92	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes	58c	349.99$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Yes	65c	344.27$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.49	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x016e…d756backed No	36c	340.28$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Yes	60c	335.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.83	241	62.2%150 W · 91 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2080…36d2backed Yes	66c	333.19$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.19	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	32c	331$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.92	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	44c	301.35$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.35	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4471…19ffbacked Yes	65c	300$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.5	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	64c	300$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked No	42c	297.62$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	102	60.8%62 W · 40 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes	65c	292.76$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.33	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-4.3wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed No	39c	292.54$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.09	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event