Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc818d6cc1c53a4a82945f9ddfc9887a91a99d1d0f240df4a99d0904398ef7284

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,282 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes	9c	3,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	127	29.9%38 W · 89 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	11c	2,697$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.72	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc6…448ebacked Yes	13c	2,561$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf643…ef25backed Yes	13c	2,351$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.63	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	17c	2,340$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.98	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb05d…dcdcbacked Yes	14c	1,361$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dff…717cbacked Yes	13c	756.69$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes	11c	702.22$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.22	114	53.5%61 W · 53 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	10c	619.06$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.7	100	12%12 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee87…e8c4backed Yes	16c	568$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.38	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	11c	565.14$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.17	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes	23c	551.21$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.78	259	54.8%142 W · 117 L	+17.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	18c	487$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.66	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x958a…df0ebacked Yes	12c	404.33$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.41	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5df…8f9bbacked Yes	16c	335.55$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.14	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Yes	16c	315$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	180	43.9%79 W · 101 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes	13c	307.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	176	64.8%114 W · 62 L	+11.5wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf70c…4e63backed Yes	34c	300.28$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.98	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	75c	270.34$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.29	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	46c	269.96$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.78	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Yes	17c	249.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1892…9fedbacked Yes	42c	215.7$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.59	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4043…2bc7backed Yes	17c	205.88$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	12c	197.92$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da0…28c0backed Yes	12c	169$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	46c	155.5$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.97	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	30c	150.53$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.16	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Yes	11c	150$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	11c	149.96$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	27c	134$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.91	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed Yes	38c	132.71$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	142	43%61 W · 81 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c4f…ca52backed Yes	32c	125.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.71	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+30%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Yes	17c	118$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	279	40.5%113 W · 166 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	66c	110.75$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.68	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4594…db1abacked Yes	23c	110.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67cf…2371backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes	24c	99.34$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.84	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	14c	90.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.38	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes	35c	85.53$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes	41c	83.22$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.12	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+21.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	17c	77.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	20c	70.81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Yes	17c	62.11$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	249	47.4%118 W · 131 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff7c…c0b2backed Yes	28c	60.71$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	21c	57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…e21cbacked Yes	38c	48.05$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	106	54.7%58 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	80c	28$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No	69c	22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.82	345	51.9%179 W · 166 L	+17.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event