TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff7c…c0b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$33.58
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.08
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.5
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.94
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.92
Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.9
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$33.45
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.44
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.05
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$21.93
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28%+$27.6
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.31
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$24.11
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$36.06
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$83.51
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.51
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.83
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$24.81
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.85
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$26.35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.42
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+103.1%+$10.66
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+186.2%+$22.34
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+71.6%+$11.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.